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Real Salt Lake and MLS by the numbers - Alpacas version

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You know as a blogger that you have made it bigtime, when people start using their herd of Alpacas to verify and then further the numbers that you use to look at how your team is doing. In this case the Alpacas clearly are on my side in thinking that anyone who might be dismissing Real Salt Lake is clearly not as smart as an Alpaca. Now I have to say that I take these numbers with a grain of salt, as it is very hard to project the future results based on current results, but try telling that to an Alpaca:

Club

GPM Difference

projected points

Projected wins

Projected losses

Projected Draws

Real Salt Lake

1

77.71

24.29

4.86

4.86

FC Dallas

0.3

57.8

17

10.2

6.8

New York Red Bulls

0.78

56.67

15.11

7.56

11.33

LA Galaxy

0.42

56.67

14.17

5.67

14.17

Philadelphia Union

0

52.89

15.11

11.33

7.56

Portland Timbers

-0.22

52.89

15.11

11.33

7.56

Colorado Rapids

0.2

51

13.6

10.2

10.2

Columbus Crew

-0.11

49.11

11.33

7.56

15.11

Chivas USA

0.22

45.33

11.33

11.33

11.33

Houston Dynamo

0.3

44.2

10.2

10.2

13.6

New England Revolution

-0.3

44.2

10.2

10.2

13.6

Seattle Sounders FC

0.18

43.27

9.27

9.27

15.45

D.C. United

-0.5

40.8

10.2

13.6

10.2

San Jose Earthquakes

-0.11

34

7.56

15.11

11.33

Toronto FC

-0.55

34

6.18

12.36

15.45

Chicago Fire

-0.33

30.22

3.78

11.33

18.89

Vancouver Whitecaps

-0.36

24.73

3.09

15.45

15.45

Sporting Kansas City

-0.86

19.43

4.86

24.29

4.86

TOTAL

0.05

814.92

202.39

201.86

207.76

LEAGUE AVG

0.003

45.27

11.24

11.21

11.5

I would love for these numbers to come true, but I have to believe that RSL might not win 24 matches this year, maybe a number like 20 is more inline with my expectations. That being said there are many people who think I know less than a number crunching Alpaca.

OFF MY SOAPBOX