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Week 10 MLS Power Ranking Averages from 16 sites

D.C. tops out, Seattle falls most. Reddit / r / MLS gets 17 right!

By Kreg Asay
Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports


MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 10

Out of the 17 sites, 16 are included below.

As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk.  3/11/14

Sites Used:

  • Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
  • Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
  • Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
  • ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
  • Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
  • MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings)
  • Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
  • Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
  • The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
  • Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
  • Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
  • The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking for Wk 10
  • Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com)
  • Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com)
  • MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
  • NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com)
  • Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)

Dead Lists:

  • Playing for 90 (playingfor90.com) - Published once
  • Examiner (examiner.com/topic/power-rankings) - Published 3 times

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias.  Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.


Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk 10 Wk 9 Wk 8
 Wk 7 Wk 6 Team
 		W10 Avg W9 Avg W8 Avg W7 Avg W6 Avg Worst
 		Best
 		Range
1
 2
 3
 6
 3
 D.C. 2.86
 2.21
 3.54
 5.47
 3.92
 8
 1
 7
2
 4
 1
 1
 1
 New York RB 3.21
 4.64
 1.69
 1.40
 1.33
 6
 1
 5
3
 5
 7
 5
 6
 Dallas 3.36
 5.21
 7.15
 5.00
 6.25
 6
 1
 5
4
 3
 6
 8
 12
 New England 3.93
 3.21
 5.38
 8.00
 11.50
 7
 2
 5
5
 1
 2
 4
 7
 Seattle 4.00
 1.50
 3.00
 4.67
 6.50
 7
 1
 6
6
 6
 4
 2
 2
 Vancouver 4.43
 5.64
 4.38
 2.20
 2.50
 8
 1
 7
7
 8
 7
 9
 10
 Columbus 7.14
 8.71
 7.15
 8.20
 10.25
 11
 3
 8
8
 7
 5
 3
 4
 Los Angeles 8.29
 6.14
 4.54
 4.20
 4.75
 11
 3
 8
9
 8
 9
 10
 8
 Kansas City 9.29
 8.71
 10.00
 9.80
 7.25
 14
 4
 10
10
 10
 10
 7
 5
 Salt Lake 10.14
 11.21
 10.62
 7.67
 4.83
 15
 8
 7
11
 12
 12
 12
 9
 San Jose 11.00
 11.93
 12.46
 11.87
 9.83
 15
 8
 7
12
 13
 147
 11
 13
 Portland 11.79
 12.86
 13.00
 11.53
 13.83
 15
 8
 7
13
 15
 13
 14
 15
 Houston 13.21
 15.29
 12.85
 13.72
 14.50
 17
 11
 6
14
 11
 15
 17
 17
 Toronto 13.79
 11.36
 14.15
 17.27
 16.42
 16
 10
 6
15
 14
 11
 15
 14
 Chicago 14.93
 13.14
 11.77
 14.53
 14.42
 18
 11
 7
16
 16
 16
 13
 11
 Orlando 16.00
 15.64
 15.77
 13.40
 11.17
 19
 12
 7
17
 17
 17
 18
 18
 Colorado 16.07
 15.71
 17.00
 17.67
 17.42
 17
 12
 5
18
 18
 18
 16
 16
 New York FC 18.29
 18.21
 17.54
 15.80 14.92
 20
 13
 7
19
 19
 20
 20
 20
 Montreal 19.07
 19.29
 19.54
 19.53
 19.92
 20
 18
 2
20
 19
 19
 19
 19
 Philadelphia 19.50
 19.29
 19.15
 18.27
 18.50
 20
 18
 2

Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above.  The best and worst # of matches is indicated.  Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.

Site
 		# Exact
 		1 off
 		2 off
 3 off 4 off Furthest off
 		Team bias vs
 		Team bias for
Major League Soccer 10
 7
 1
 1
 1
 DCU +4
 SJE +2.47
 CLB -2.19
Soccer by Ives 8
 5
 4
 1
 2
 SJE +4, TFC-4
 SJE +3.65
 NER -3.52
Soccer America 5
 9
 3
 3
 0
 3 teams +/- 4
 CLB +2.91
 HOU -2.65
ESPN 9
 3
 5
 3
 0
 3 teams +3
 NYC +2.46
 TFC -1.99
Seattle Times 3
 6
 5
 3
 3
 VAN -5
 NYRB +3.82
 TFC -3.72
MLS GB 6
 9
 4
 1
 0
 COL -3
 TFC +2.01
 COL -1.49
Black & Red United 8
 5
 3
 3
 1
 NYRB +4
 RSL +2.57
 SJE -2.72
Sports Illustrated 5
 9
 4
 1
 1
 VAN -4
 SKC +3.35
 ORL -2.91
The Mane Land 7
 7
 3
 2
 1
 DCU +7
 SKC +1.95
 LAG -3.02
Who Scored 1
 6
 2
 4
 7
 4 teams +/- 5
 ORL +5.69
 COL -5.93
Reddit /r/MLS
 17
 2
 1
 0
 0
 VAN -2
 ORL +1.39
 CLB -2.04
The Sports Network
 NR NR NR NR NR NR NER +3.23
 SJE -4.19
Soccer Information Network 4
 11
 2
 0
 3
 DCU +5
 DCU +2.34
 POR -4.51
Soccer In America 11
 6
 3
 0
 0
 3 teams +/- 2
 TFC +2.51
 NYRB -2.42
MLS Fantasy Boss 1
 8
 4
 2
 5
 DCU +5, LAG -5
 SJE +4.28
 POR -5.41
NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk 2
 11
 4
 0
 3
 SKC +5
 SKC +5.05
 SJE -3.95
Bleacher Report
 7
 4
 6
 2
 1
 VAN -4
 NYCFC +4.57
 NER -6.56
  • Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Reddit /r/MLS
  • Least Accurate Site: (most 4+ with +3 as tiebreaker) Who Scored
  • Furthest Off: The Mane Land with DCU seven places higher than average.
  • Site with Worst Bias: Bleacher Report for placing New England an average of 6.56 places better than their average.


Season Average Power Ranking

Team
2015
(run. avg)
 W10 Avg W9 Avg W8 Avg W7 Avg W6 Avg 2014 Avg 2013 Avg
 		2012 Avg
LA Galaxy 3.24
 4.60
 4.21
 3.97
 3.85
 3.84
 6.77
 5.14
 2.46
FC Dallas 3.36
 3.91
 3.98
 3.82
 3.37
 3.07
 4.04
 9.36
 4.39
Seattle Sounders
 3.58
 3.93
 3.94
 4.25
 4.41
 4.38
 4.04
 9.36
 4.39
D.C. United
 5.77
 4.97
 5.19
 5.56
 5.85
 5.91
 12.15
 17.29
 9.33
New York Red Bulls 6.90
 4.54
 4.69
 4.69
 5.13 5.74 11.07 6.38 7.23
Vancouver Whitecaps 8.31
 5.66
 5.78
 5.79
 6.00
 6.63
 7.40
 10.41
 7.87
Real Salt Lake 8.61
 8.63
 8.46
 8.12
 7.74
 4.38 2.94 4.52 8.40
Toronto FC 9.03
 11.99
 11.78
 11.84
 11.52
 10.55
 7.47
 16.85
 10.96
Columbus Crew SC
 9.07
 8.66
 8.81
 5.56
 9.08
 9.21
 8.97
 12.89
 9.46
Sporting Kansas City 10.40
 9.95
 10.02
 10.19
 10.18
 10.28
 4.45
 4.45
 3.09
New York City FC 10.82
 13.18
 12.61
 11.91
 11.09
 10.32
 N/A N/A N/A
Orlando City
 11.25
 12.81
 12.46
 12.06
 11.53
 11.22
 N/A N/A N/A
Portland Timbers
 11.80
 12.19
 12.25
 12.18
 12.06
 12.15 11.34 5.73 13.89
New England Revolution 12.54 10.05 10.74 11.68 12.63 13.35 11.50 12.35 14.84
Houston Dynamo
 12.56
 13.66
 13.70
 13.50
 13.62
 13.57
 9.48
 7.74
 6.29
San Jose Earthquakes
 12.70
 11.64
 11.68
 11.65
 11.55
 11.48
 14.44
 12.34
 4.86
Philadelphia Union
 16.80
 18.04
 17.88
 17.71
 17.50
 17.37
 11.33
 10.53
 15.70
Colorado Rapids
 17.13
 17.14
 17.25
 17.44
 17.49
 17.47
 9.66
 9.79
 10.06
Chicago Fire 17.85
 15.95
 16.09 16.45 17.12 17.56 15.61 14.27 13.07
Montreal Impact
 18.24
 18.71
 18.67
 18.59
 18.45
 18.28
 17.67 5.32
 15.74


Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.

Team
 		Weekly
Best 		Weekly
Worst 		Best
Wk. Avg.
 		Worst
Wk. Avg.
Chicago Fire
 11
 20
 11.77 19.93
Colorado Rapids
 17
 19
 15.71
 19.17
Columbus Crew SC
 5
 12
 6.38
 11.38
D.C. United
 1
 10
 2.21
 10.40
FC Dallas
 1
 7
 1.13
 7.15
Houston Dynamo
 7
 17
 8.38
 16.67
LA Galaxy
 1
 8
 1.69
 8.29
Montreal Impact
 18
 20
 17.60
 19.92
New England Revolution
 3
 17
 3.21
 15.69
New York City FC
 4
 18
 6.69
 18.29
New York Red Bulls
 1
 11
 1.38
 11.15
Orlando City
 7
 16
 7.31
 16.00
Philadelphia Union
 16
 20
 14.62
 19.69
Portland Timbers
 10
 15
 10.83
 14.69
Real Salt Lake
 5
 11
 4.69
 11.21
San Jose Earthquakes
 8
 19
 7.33
 18.23
Seattle Sounders
 1
 6
 1.23
 6.31
Sporting Kansas City
 6
 15
 7.46
 14.53
Toronto FC
 3
 17
 3.31
 17.27
Vancouver Whitecaps
 1
 15
 1.33
 13.85

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