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Week 11 MLS Power Ranking Averages from 16 Sites

16 of 17 sites published for week 11. Seattle bounces back into first, with Philly reprising last place; Six teams tied, and for the 7th consecutive week the Redditors are most accurate.

By Kreg Asay
Anne-Marie Sorvin-USA TODAY Sports


MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 11

Out of the 17 sites, 16 are included below.

As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk.  3/11/14

Sites Used:

  • Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
  • Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
  • Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
  • ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
  • Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
  • MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings)
  • Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
  • Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
  • The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
  • Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
  • Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
  • The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com)
  • Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com)
  • Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com)
  • MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
  • NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com) *No ranking for Wk 11
  • Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)

Dead Lists:

  • Playing for 90 (playingfor90.com) - Published once
  • Examiner (examiner.com/topic/power-rankings) - Published 3 times

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias.  Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.


Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk 11 Wk 10 Wk 9 Wk 8
 Wk 7 Team
 		W11 Avg W10 Avg W9 Avg W8 Avg W7 Avg Worst
 		Best
 		Range
1
 5
 1
 2
 4
 Seattle 1.57
 4.00
 1.50
 3.00
 4.67
 5
 1
 4
2
 2
 4
 1
 1
 New York RB 2.57
 3.21
 4.64
 1.69
 1.40
 6
 1
 5
3
 3
 5
 7
 5
 Dallas 3.43
 3.36
 5.21
 7.15
 5.00
 5
 1
 4
4
 1
 2
 3
 6
 D.C. 4.07
 2.86
 2.21
 3.54
 5.47
 6
 1
 5
4
 4
 3
 6
 8
 New England 4.07
 3.93
 3.21
 5.38
 8.00
 7
 1
 6
6
 6
 6
 4
 2
 Vancouver 6.00
 4.43
 5.64
 4.38
 2.20
 10
 3
 7
7
 11
 12
 12
 12
 San Jose 8.00
 11.00
 11.93
 12.46
 11.87
 12
 6
 6
8
 7
 8
 7
 9
 Columbus 8.29
 7.14
 8.71
 7.15
 8.20
 14
 6
 8
9
 9
 8
 9
 10
 Kansas City 8.36
 9.29
 8.71
 10.00
 9.80
 12
 4
 8
10
 8
 7
 5
 3
 Los Angeles 10.79
 8.29
 6.14
 4.54
 4.20
 15
 5
 10
10
 13
 15
 13
 14
 Houston 10.79
 13.21
 15.29
 12.85
 13.72
 17
 7
 10
12
 10
 10
 10
 7
 Salt Lake 12.86
 10.14
 11.21
 10.62
 7.67
 18
 9
 9
12
 14
 11
 15
 17
 Toronto 12.86
 13.79
 11.36
 14.15
 17.27
 17
 9
 8
14
 16
 16
 16
 13
 Orlando 13.79
 16.00
 15.67
 15.77
 13.40
 19
 10
 9
15
 12
 13
 147
 11
 Portland 14.00
 11.79
 12.86
 13.00
 11.53
 16
 9
 7
16
 15
 14
 11
 15
 Chicago 15.57
 14.93
 13.14
 11.77
 14.53
 20
 10
 10
17
 17
 17
 17
 18
 Colorado 17.00
 16.07
 15.71
 17.00
 17.67
 19
 11
 9
18
 19
 19
 20
 20
 Montreal 17.43
 19.07
 19.29
 19.54
 19.53
 19
 16
 3
19
 18
 18
 18
 16
 New York FC 19.14
 18.29
 18.21
 17.54
 15.80 20
 14
 6
20
 20
 19
 19
 19
 Philadelphia 19.36
 19.50
 19.29
 19.15
 18.27
 20
 17
 3

Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above.  The best and worst # of matches is indicated.  Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.

Site
 		# Exact
 		1 off
 		2 off
 3 off 4 off Furthest off
 		Team bias vs
 		Team bias for
Major League Soccer 11
 4
 4
 1
 0
 RSL +3
 SJE +2.38
 CLB -2.03
Soccer by Ives 7
 6
 5
 1
 1
 SJE +4
 SJE +3.63
 NER -3.55
Soccer America 6
 10
 3
 1
 0
 NYRB +3
 CLB +2.72
 HOU -2.39
ESPN 7
 10
 2
 0
 1
 LAG +5
 NYC +2.28
 TFC -1.98
Seattle Times 3
 11
 5
 0
 1
 ORL -4
 NYRB +3.56
 TFC -3.39
MLS GB 4
 9
 2
 3
 2
 TFC +5
 TFC +2.19
 COL -1.62
Black & Red United 3
 6
 5
 3
 3
 3@ +/-3
 CLB +2.21
 SJE -2.47
Sports Illustrated 9
 3
 6
 2
 0
 HOU +3, RSL -3
 SKC +3.29
 ORL -2.63
The Mane Land 10
 4
 3
 3
 0
 3@+/-3
 SKC +1.95
 LAG -3.02
Who Scored 1
 5
 3
 4
 7
 HOU+7
 ORL +5.65
 COL -5.94
Reddit /r/MLS
 11
 7
 1
 1
 0
 RSL +3
 ORL +1.19
 CLB -1.97
The Sports Network
 5
 9
 2
 1
 3
 CHI -6, CLB +6
 TOR +3.32
 SJE -3.79
Soccer Information Network 9
 6
 2
 1
 2
 HOU +4, POR -4
 DCU +2.30
 POR -4.37
Soccer In America 7
 13
 0
 0
 0
 13 @ +/-1
 TFC +2.27
 NYRB -2.25
MLS Fantasy Boss 2
 7
 6
 1
 4
 POR -6
 SJE +4.26
 POR -5.37
NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk NR NR NR NR NR NR SKC +5.20
 SJE -3.62
Bleacher Report
 5
 8
 5
 1
 1
 CHI +4
 LAG +4.22
 NER -5.52
  • Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Reddit /r/MLS (special mention to Soccer In America for getting ALL 20 within 1!)
  • Least Accurate Site: (most 4+ with +3 as tiebreaker) Who Scored
  • Furthest Off: Who Scored with HOU seven places higher than average.
  • Site with Worst Bias: Who Scored for placing Colorado an average of 5.94 places better than their average.
  • Site with Least Bias: Reddit /r/MLS which has both for/against less than 2 places from average.


Season Average Power Ranking

Team
2015
(run. avg)
 W11 Avg W10 Avg W9 Avg W8 Avg W7 Avg 2014 Avg 2013 Avg
 		2012 Avg
FC Dallas 3.40
 3.87
 3.91
 3.98
 3.82
 3.37
 4.04
 9.36
 4.39
LA Galaxy 3.42
 5.18
 4.60
 4.21
 3.97
 3.85
 6.77
 5.14
 2.46
Seattle Sounders
 3.60
 3.73
 3.93
 3.94
 4.25
 4.41
 4.04
 9.36
 4.39
D.C. United
 5.69
 4.88
 4.97
 5.19
 5.56
 5.85
 12.15
 17.29
 9.33
New York Red Bulls 6.67
 4.36
 4.54
 4.69
 4.69
 5.13 11.07 6.38 7.23
Vancouver Whitecaps 8.07
 5.67
 5.66
 5.78
 5.79
 6.00
 7.40
 10.41
 7.87
Real Salt Lake 8.65
 9.01
 8.63
 8.46
 8.12
 7.74
 2.94 4.52 8.40
Columbus Crew SC 9.03
 8.61
 8.66
 8.81
 5.56
 9.08
 8.97
 12.89
 9.46
Toronto FC 9.31
 12.06
 11.99
 11.78
 11.84
 11.52
 7.47
 16.85
 10.96
Sporting Kansas City 10.35
 9.80
 9.95
 10.02
 10.19
 10.18
 4.45
 4.45
 3.09
New York City FC 11.09
 13.72
 13.18
 12.61
 11.91
 11.09
 N/A N/A N/A
Orlando City
 11.40
 12.90
 12.81
 12.46
 12.06
 11.53
 N/A N/A N/A
Portland Timbers
 11.85
 12.37
 12.19
 12.25
 12.18
 12.06
 11.34 5.73 13.89
New England Revolution 12.26
 9.52
 10.05 10.74 11.68 12.63 11.50 12.35 14.84
San Jose Earthquakes 12.57
 11.29
 11.64
 11.68
 11.65
 11.55
 14.44
 12.34
 4.86
Houston Dynamo
 12.64
 13.39
 13.66
 13.70
 13.50
 13.62
 9.48
 7.74
 6.29
Philadelphia Union
 16.92
 18.16
 18.04
 17.88
 17.71
 17.50
 11.33
 10.53
 15.70
Colorado Rapids
 17.13
 17.12
 17.14
 17.25
 17.44
 17.49
 9.66
 9.79
 10.06
Chicago Fire 17.68
 15.93
 15.95
 16.09 16.45 17.12 15.61 14.27 13.07
Montreal Impact
 18.27
 18.59
 18.71
 18.67
 18.59
 18.45
 17.67 5.32
 15.74


Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.

Team
 		Weekly
Best 		Weekly
Worst 		Best
Wk. Avg.
 		Worst
Wk. Avg.
Chicago Fire
 11
 20
 11.77 19.93
Colorado Rapids
 17
 19
 15.71
 19.17
Columbus Crew SC
 5
 12
 6.38
 11.38
D.C. United
 1
 10
 2.21
 10.40
FC Dallas
 1
 7
 1.13
 7.15
Houston Dynamo
 7
 17
 8.38
 16.67
LA Galaxy
 1
 10
 1.69
 10.79
Montreal Impact
 18
 20
 17.60
 19.92
New England Revolution
 3
 17
 3.21
 15.69
New York City FC
 4
 19
 6.69
 19.14
New York Red Bulls
 1
 11
 1.38
 11.15
Orlando City
 7
 16
 7.31
 16.00
Philadelphia Union
 16
 20
 14.62
 19.69
Portland Timbers
 10
 15
 10.83
 14.69
Real Salt Lake
 5
 12
 4.69
 12.86
San Jose Earthquakes
 7
 19
 7.33
 18.23
Seattle Sounders
 1
 6
 1.23
 6.31
Sporting Kansas City
 6
 15
 7.46
 14.53
Toronto FC
 3
 17
 3.31
 17.27
Vancouver Whitecaps
 1
 15
 1.33
 13.85

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