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Week 14 MLS Power Ranking from 17 sites

17 of 19 sites published this week. Seattle narrowly retains lead, Portland jumps again.

By Kreg Asay
Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports


MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 14

Yet another new site - American Soccer Analysis have been added for this week. earlier weeks are not accessible so no changes have been made to prior rankings.   Out of the 19 current sites, 17 are included below.

As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk.  3/11/14

Sites Used:

  • Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
  • Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
  • Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
  • ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
  • Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
  • MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings)
  • Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
  • Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
  • The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
  • Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
  • Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
  • The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking for Wk 14
  • Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com)
  • Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com)
  • MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
  • NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com) *No ranking for Wk 14
  • Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)
  • Jeff Sagarin's MLS Rankings (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
  • American Soccer Analysis (americansocceranalysis.com/power-rankings)

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias.  Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.


Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk 14 Wk 13 Wk 12 Wk 11 Wk 10 Team
 		W14 Avg W13 Avg W12 Avg W11 Avg W10 Avg Worst
 		Best
 		Range
1
 1
 1
 1
 5
 Seattle 1.60
 1.06
 1.36
 1.53
 4.00
 3
 1
 2
2
 3
 6
 9
 9
 Kansas City 1.93
 3.50
 5.93
 8.47
 9.29
 6
 1
 5
3
 2
 2
 4
 1
 D.C. 3.87
 3.00
 2.57
 4.07
 2.86
 20
 1
 19
4
 5
 7
 6
 6
 Vancouver 5.00
 6.00
 7.64
 6.07
 4.43
 9
 1
 8
5
 9
 11
 12
 14
 Toronto 5.47
 8.56
 10.71
 12.60
 13.79
 11
 1
 10
6
 6
 3
 3
 3
 Dallas 6.20
 6.38
 3.64
 3.40
 3.36
 12
 4
 8
7
 4
 5
 5
 4
 New England 7.20
 5.56
 4.86
 4.27
 3.93
 14
 5
 9
8
 12
 17
 15
 12
 Portland 7.67
 11.63
 16.57
 14.07
 11.79
 15
 4
 11
9
 7
 4
 2
 2
 New York RB 8.73
 6.56
 4.79
 2.53
 3.21
 13
 3
 10
10
 8
 10
 11
 8
 Los Angeles 9.67
 7.81
 9.43
 10.93
 8.29
 15
 3
 12
11
 11
 8
 7
 11
 San Jose 10.73
 10.06
 8.21
 7.87
 11.00
 15
 5
 10
12
 13
 13
 10
 13
 Houston 11.47
 13.63
 12.79
 10.87
 13.21
 17
 9
 8
13
 16
 14
 14
 16
 Orlando 13.07
 15.13
 14.50
 13.80
 16.00
 20
 9
 11
14
 10
 9
 8
 7
 Columbus 13.27
 9.44
 9.14
 8.13
 7.14
 17
 7
 10
15
 18
 16
 18
 19
 Montreal 15.40
 18.13
 16.43
 17.40
 19.07
 17
 14
 3
16
 14
 12
 13
 10
 Salt Lake 15.53
 14.31
 11.57
 13.07
 10.14
 19
 11
 8
17
 15
 18
 16
 15
 Chicago 16.93
 14.63
 16.71
 15.73
 14.93
 20
 10
 10
18
 17
 15
 17
 17
 Colorado 17.93
 17.00
 15.29
 16.60
 16.07
 19
 11
 8
19
 19
 19
 20
 20
 Philadelphia 18.07
 18.25
 18.36
 19.40
 19.50
 20
 16
 4
20
 20
 20
 19
 18
 New York FC 19.40
 19.81
 20.00
 19.13
 18.29
 20
 15
 5

Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above.  The best and worst # of matches is indicated.  Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.

Site
 		# Exact
 		1 off
 		2 off
 3 off 4 off Furthest off
 		most bias vs
 		most bias for
Major League Soccer 9
 6
 5
 0
 0
 5 @ +/-2
 SJE +2.16
 TFC -1.61
Soccer by Ives 11
 4
 3
 2
 0
 HOU -3 | POR +3
 SJE +3.36
 NER -2.93
Soccer America 5
 7
 3
 2
 3
 POR +7
 POR +2.86
 SJE -2.17
ESPN 6
 6
 7
 0
 1
 FCD +6
 POR +1.93
 TFC -2.08
Seattle Times 7
 9
 2
 1
 1
 ORL -4
 NYRB +3.00
 TFC -2.74
MLS GB 6
 7
 5
 1
 1
 TFC +6
 TFC +2.92
 COL -1.37
Black & Red United 3
 9
 3
 2
 3
 TFC +5
 RSL+1.62
 SJE -2.26
Sports Illustrated 5
 6
 2
 6
 1
 NER +4
 NER +3.20
 VAN -2.62
The Mane Land 3
 8
 9
 0
 0
 9 @ +/-2
 VAN +2.01
 LAG -2.50
Who Scored 2
 2
 5
 1
 10
 4@ +/-7
 ORL +5.46
 COL -5.68
Reddit /r/MLS
 4
 12
 4
 0
 0
 4@ +/-2
 COL +1.25
 CLB -1.58
The Sports Network
 NA
 NA NA NA NA NA TFC +4.17
 SJE -3.47
Soccer Information Network 10
 8
 2
 0
 0
 CLB, NER +2
 DCU +1.82
 POR -3.94
Soccer In America 10
 7
 2
 1
 0
 NER +3
 NYCFC +1.64
 NYRB -1.95
MLS Fantasy Boss 4
 7
 2
 2
 5
 LAG -7
 SJE +4.03
 POR -4.93
NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk NA NA NA NA NA NA SKC +3.27
 VAN -3.33
Bleacher Report
 6
 8
 4
 2
 0
 CHI, NER +3
 LAG +4.38
 NER -2.91
Jeff Sagarin
 4
 4
 8
 1
 3
 COL -5
 RSL +6.48
 TFC -5.71
American Soccer Analysis
 0
 3
 2
 3
 12
 DCU +17
 DCU +14.98
 TFC -10.21
  • Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Soccer By Ives
  • Least Accurate Site: (most 4+ with +3 as tiebreaker) American Soccer Analysis
  • Furthest Off: American Soccer Analysis with DCU 17 places higher than average.
  • Site with Worst Bias: American Soccer Analysis for placing DCU an average of 14.98 places worse than their average.  This is based on only two weeks, thus it should be reduced as more ratings are made.
  • Site with Least Bias: Reddit /r/MLS which has both for/against less than 2 places from average.


Season Average Power Ranking

Team
2015
(run. avg)
 W14 Avg W13 Avg W12 Avg W11 Avg W10 Avg 2014 Avg 2013 Avg
 		2012 Avg
Seattle Sounders 3.543 3.18
 3.30
 3.57
 3.73
 3.93
 4.04
 9.36
 4.39
FC Dallas 3.547
 4.22
 4.03
 3.85
 3.87
 3.91
 7.09
 8.78
 17.17
LA Galaxy 3.92
 6.00
 5.72
 5.56
 5.19
 4.60
 6.77
 5.14
 2.46
D.C. United
 5.45
 4.52
 4.55
 4.70
 4.88
 4.97
 12.15
 7.29
 9.33
New York Red Bulls 6.23
 4.87
 4.58
 4.39
 4.36
 4.54
 11.07 6.38 7.23
Vancouver Whitecaps 7.60
 5.83
 5.88
 5.85
 5.68
 5.66
 7.40
 10.41
 7.87
Real Salt Lake 8.56
 10.02
 9.58
 9.29
 9.03
 8.63
 2.94 4.52 8.40
Columbus Crew SC 8.98
 9.01
 8.69
 8.67
 8.60
 8.66
 8.97
 12.89
 9.46
Toronto FC 9.80
 11.21
 11.68
 11.94
 12.04
 11.99
 7.47
 16.85
 10.96
Sporting Kansas City 10.06
 8.48
 8.98
 9.52
 9.81
 9.95
 4.45
 4.45
 3.09
New England Revolution 11.54 8.66 8.77 9.22 9.53 10.05 11.50 12.35 14.84
Orlando City 11.78 13.25 13.28 12.98 12.90 12.81 -- -- --
New York City FC 11.85
 15.03
 14.70
 14.20
 13.72
 13.18
 -- -- --
Portland Timbers
 11.99
 12.21
 12.56
 12.77
 12.38
 12.19
 11.34 5.73 13.89
San Jose Earthquakes 12.23
 10.97
 11.01
 10.96
 11.27
 11.64
 14.44
 12.34
 4.86
Houston Dynamo
 12.79
 13.29
 13.42
 13.30
 13.39
 13.66
 9.48
 7.74
 6.29
Colorado Rapids 17.10
 17.04
 16.98
 16.89
 17.08
 17.14
 9.66
 9.79
 10.06
Philadelphia Union
 17.20
 18.21
 18.23
 18.14
 18.17
 18.04
 11.33
 10.53
 15.70
Chicago Fire 17.31
 15.96
 15.90
 16.02
 15.95
 15.95
 15.61 14.27 13.07
Montreal Impact
 18.28
 18.19
 18.40
 18.40
 18.59
 18.71
 17.67 5.32
 15.74


Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.

Team
 		Weekly
Best 		Weekly
Worst 		Best
Wk. Avg.
 		Worst
Wk. Avg.
Chicago Fire
 11
 20
 11.77 19.93
Colorado Rapids
 15
 19
 15.29
 19.17
Columbus Crew SC
 5
 14
 6.38
 13.27
D.C. United
 1
 10
 2.21
 10.40
FC Dallas
 1
 7
 1.13
 7.15
Houston Dynamo
 7
 17
 8.38
 16.67
LA Galaxy
 1
 11
 1.69
 10.79
Montreal Impact
 15
 20
 15.40
 19.92
New England Revolution
 3
 17
 3.21
 15.69
New York City FC
 4
 20
 6.69
 20.00
New York Red Bulls
 1
 11
 1.38
 11.15
Orlando City
 7
 16
 7.31
 16.00
Philadelphia Union
 16
 20
 14.62
 19.69
Portland Timbers
 8
 17
 7.67
 16.57
Real Salt Lake
 5
 16
 4.69
 15.53
San Jose Earthquakes
 7
 19
 7.33
 18.23
Seattle Sounders
 1
 6
 1.06
 6.31
Sporting Kansas City
 2
 15
 1.93
 14.53
Toronto FC
 3
 17
 3.31
 17.27
Vancouver Whitecaps
 1
 15
 1.33
 13.85

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