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MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 15
Of the 19 sites, 15 are included below. US Open Cup matches appear to have superseded Power Ranking coverage.
As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings) *No ranking for Wk 15
- Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
- Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz) *No ranking for Wk 15
- MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings)
- Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
- Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
- Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
- The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking for Wk 15
- Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com)
- Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com)
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
- NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com) *No ranking for Wk 15
- Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)
- Jeff Sagarin's MLS Rankings (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
- American Soccer Analysis (americansocceranalysis.com/power-rankings)
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk 15 | Wk 14 | Wk 13 | Wk 12 | Wk 11 |
Team |
W15 Avg | W14 Avg | W13 Avg | W12 Avg | W11 Avg |
Worst |
Best |
Range |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Seattle | 1.15 |
1.60 |
1.06 |
1.36 |
1.53 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
9 |
Kansas City | 2.15 |
1.93 |
3.50 |
5.93 |
8.47 |
6 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
D.C. | 4.54 |
3.87 |
3.00 |
2.57 |
4.07 |
20 |
2 |
18 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
6 |
Vancouver | 4.92 |
5.00 |
6.00 |
7.64 |
6.07 |
9 |
2 |
7 |
5 |
5 |
9 |
11 |
12 |
Toronto | 5.38 |
5.47 |
8.56 |
10.71 |
12.60 |
11 |
1 |
10 |
6 |
7 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
New England | 6.00 |
7.20 |
5.56 |
4.86 |
4.27 |
12 |
4 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
12 |
17 |
15 |
Portland | 6.92 |
7.67 |
11.63 |
16.57 |
14.07 |
15 |
4 |
11 |
8 |
6 |
6 |
3 |
3 |
Dallas | 8.23 |
6.20 |
6.38 |
3.64 |
3.40 |
14 |
4 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
New York RB | 9.08 |
8.73 |
6.56 |
4.79 |
2.53 |
13 |
3 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
8 |
10 |
11 |
Los Angeles | 9.54 |
9.67 |
7.81 |
9.43 |
10.93 |
15 |
3 |
12 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
8 |
7 |
San Jose | 10.77 |
10.73 |
10.06 |
8.21 |
7.87 |
14 |
5 |
9 |
12 |
13 |
16 |
14 |
14 |
Orlando | 11.69 |
13.07 |
15.13 |
14.50 |
13.80 |
20 |
9 |
11 |
13 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
10 |
Houston | 11.85 |
11.47 |
13.63 |
12.79 |
10.87 |
17 |
10 |
7 |
14 |
14 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
Columbus | 13.31 |
13.27 |
9.44 |
9.14 |
8.13 |
18 |
8 |
10 |
15 |
16 |
14 |
12 |
13 |
Salt Lake | 15.38 |
15.53 |
14.31 |
11.57 |
13.07 |
19 |
12 |
7 |
16 |
15 |
18 |
16 |
18 |
Montreal | 17.08 |
15.40 |
18.13 |
16.43 |
17.40 |
20 |
14 |
6 |
17 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
19 |
New York FC | 17.15 |
19.40 |
19.81 |
20.00 |
19.13 |
19 |
10 |
9 |
18 |
18 |
17 |
15 |
17 |
Colorado | 17.69 |
17.93 |
17.00 |
15.29 |
16.60 |
20 |
11 |
9 |
18 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
20 |
Philadelphia | 17.69 |
18.07 |
18.25 |
18.36 |
19.40 |
20 |
16 |
4 |
20 |
17 |
15 |
18 |
16 |
Chicago | 18.23 |
16.93 |
14.63 |
16.71 |
15.73 |
20 |
13 |
7 |
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.
Site |
# Exact |
1 off |
2 off |
3 off | 4 off |
Furthest off |
most bias vs |
most bias for |
Major League Soccer | 7 |
6 |
4 |
3 |
0 |
HOU/LAG -3, NYRB +3 |
SJE +2.17 |
TFC -1.63 |
Soccer by Ives | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | SJE +3.37 |
NER -2.75 |
Soccer America | 3 |
5 |
5 |
2 |
5 |
POR +8 |
POR +3.21 |
SJE -2.40 |
ESPN | 5 |
5 |
7 |
1 |
2 |
FCD +6 |
POR +1.90 |
TFC -2.07 |
Seattle Times | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | SJE +2.97 |
TFC -2.35 |
MLS GB | 9 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
1 |
TFC +6 |
TFC +3.12 |
COL -1.33 |
Black & Red United | 3 |
8 |
2 |
1 |
6 |
TFC +6 |
TFC +1.78 |
SJE -2.29 |
Sports Illustrated | 4 |
7 |
4 |
4 |
1 |
CLB +4 |
NER +3.19 |
VAN -2.64 |
The Mane Land | 5 |
10 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
MON +4 |
VAN +1.90 |
LAG -2.37 |
Who Scored | 1 |
3 |
5 |
2 |
9 |
ORL +8 |
ORL +5.65 |
COL -5.55 |
Reddit /r/MLS |
7 |
8 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
CHI -5 |
COL +1.32 |
CLB -1.43 |
The Sports Network |
NA |
NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | TFC +4.56 |
SJE -3.46 |
Soccer Info. Network | 9 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
NER +3 |
DCU +1.55 |
POR -3.52 |
Soccer In America | 6 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
0 |
CHI -3 |
NYCFC +1.60 |
NYRB -1.92 |
MLS Fantasy Boss | 7 |
4 |
2 |
5 |
2 |
LAG -7 |
SJE +3.97 |
POR -4.72 |
Pro Soccer Talk | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | SKC +3.69 |
VAN -3.27 |
Bleacher Report |
6 |
11 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
MON/NER +2, ORL -2 |
LAG +4.20 |
NER -2.48 |
Jeff Sagarin |
5 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
COL -5 |
LAG +6.56 |
TFC -5.82 |
American Soccer Analysis |
1 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
12 |
DCU +17 |
DCU +15.15 |
TFC -9.82 |
- Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Soccer Info. Network
- Least Accurate Site: (most 4+ with +3 as tiebreaker) American Soccer Analysis
- Furthest Off: American Soccer Analysis with DCU 17 places higher than average.
- Site with Worst Bias: American Soccer Analysis for placing DCU an average of 15.15 places worse than their average. Due to their practice of using past season results for trends, it would seem that DCU's ranking isn't likely to improve greatly.
- Site with Least Bias: Reddit /r/MLS and Soccer In America, both of which have for/against less than 2 places from average.
Season Average Power Ranking
Team |
2015
(run. avg)
|
W15 Avg | W14 Avg | W13 Avg | W12 Avg | W11 Avg | 2014 Avg |
2013 Avg |
2012 Avg |
Seattle Sounders | 3.51 |
3.05 |
3.18 |
3.30 |
3.57 |
3.73 |
4.04 |
9.36 |
4.39 |
FC Dallas | 3.60 |
4.48 |
4.22 |
4.03 |
3.85 |
3.87 |
7.09 |
8.78 |
17.17 |
LA Galaxy | 4.08 |
6.24 |
6.00 |
5.72 |
5.56 |
5.19 |
6.77 |
5.14 |
2.46 |
D.C. United |
5.39 |
4.52 |
4.52 |
4.55 |
4.70 |
4.88 |
12.15 |
7.29 |
9.33 |
New York Red Bulls | 6.16 |
5.15 |
4.87 |
4.58 |
4.39 |
4.36 |
11.07 | 6.38 | 7.23 |
Vancouver Whitecaps | 7.48 |
5.77 |
5.83 |
5.88 |
5.85 |
5.68 |
7.40 |
10.41 |
7.87 |
Real Salt Lake | 8.96 |
10.37 |
10.02 |
9.58 |
9.29 |
9.03 |
2.94 | 4.52 | 8.40 |
Columbus Crew SC | 9.00 |
9.30 |
9.01 |
8.69 |
8.67 |
8.60 |
8.97 |
12.89 |
9.46 |
Toronto FC | 9.87 |
10.82 |
11.21 |
11.68 |
11.94 |
12.04 |
7.47 |
16.85 |
10.96 |
Sporting Kansas City | 9.93 |
8.06 |
8.48 |
8.98 |
9.52 |
9.81 |
4.45 |
4.45 |
3.09 |
New England Revolution | 11.34 |
8.48 |
8.66 | 8.77 | 9.22 | 9.53 | 11.50 | 12.35 | 14.84 |
Orlando City | 11.87 |
13.15 |
13.25 | 13.28 | 12.98 | 12.90 | -- | -- | -- |
Portland Timbers | 11.98 | 11.85 |
12.21 | 12.56 | 12.77 | 12.38 | 11.34 | 5.73 | 13.89 |
New York City FC | 12.07 |
15.17 |
15.03 |
14.70 |
14.20 |
13.72 |
-- | -- | -- |
San Jose Earthquakes | 12.15 |
10.96 |
10.97 |
11.01 |
10.96 |
11.27 |
14.44 |
12.34 |
4.86 |
Houston Dynamo |
12.81 |
13.19 |
13.29 |
13.42 |
13.30 |
13.39 |
9.48 |
7.74 |
6.29 |
Colorado Rapids | 17.10 |
17.08 |
17.04 |
16.98 |
16.89 |
17.08 |
9.66 |
9.79 |
10.06 |
Chicago Fire | 17.23 | 16.11 |
15.96 | 15.90 | 16.02 | 15.95 | 15.61 | 14.27 | 13.07 |
Philadelphia Union |
17.26 |
18.17 |
18.21 |
18.23 |
18.14 |
18.17 |
11.33 |
10.53 |
15.70 |
Montreal Impact |
18.27 |
18.11 |
18.19 |
18.40 |
18.40 |
18.59 |
17.67 | 5.32 |
15.74 |
Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.
Team |
Weekly Best |
Weekly Worst |
Best Wk. Avg. |
Worst Wk. Avg. |
Chicago Fire |
11 |
20 |
11.77 | 19.93 |
Colorado Rapids |
15 |
19 |
15.29 |
19.17 |
Columbus Crew SC |
5 |
14 |
6.38 |
13.31 |
D.C. United |
1 |
10 |
2.21 |
10.40 |
FC Dallas |
1 |
8 |
1.13 |
8.23 |
Houston Dynamo |
7 |
17 |
8.38 |
16.67 |
LA Galaxy |
1 |
11 |
1.69 |
10.79 |
Montreal Impact |
15 |
20 |
15.40 |
19.92 |
New England Revolution |
3 |
17 |
3.21 |
15.69 |
New York City FC |
4 |
20 |
6.69 |
20.00 |
New York Red Bulls |
1 |
11 |
1.38 |
11.15 |
Orlando City |
7 |
16 |
7.31 |
16.00 |
Philadelphia Union |
16 |
20 |
14.62 |
19.69 |
Portland Timbers |
7 |
17 |
6.92 |
16.57 |
Real Salt Lake |
5 |
16 |
4.69 |
15.53 |
San Jose Earthquakes |
7 |
19 |
7.33 |
18.23 |
Seattle Sounders |
1 |
6 |
1.06 |
6.31 |
Sporting Kansas City |
2 |
15 |
1.93 |
14.53 |
Toronto FC |
3 |
17 |
3.31 |
17.27 |
Vancouver Whitecaps |
1 |
15 |
1.33 |
13.85 |