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MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 23
One site retroactively published rankings for Wk 22 effecting a minor change to the averages. For Wk 23 - 14 of 18 sites are included below.
As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
- Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
- Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz) *No ranking for Wk 23
- MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings) *No ranking for Wk 23
- Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
- Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
- Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
- Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com)
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
- NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com) *No ranking for Wk 23
- Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)
- Jeff Sagarin's MLS Rankings (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
- Squawka (http://www.squawka.com/football-team-rankings#performance-score#team-stats#us-major-league-soccer)
Possibly Dead List
* Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com) *No ranking for past 6 weeks
Dead List - I'll check it periodically just in case they run one, and their old ratings won't be removed.
* The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking since 5-19-15, site offline 7-27
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk 23 | Wk 22 | Wk 21 |
Wk 20 |
Wk 19 |
Team |
W23 Avg | W22 Avg | W21 Avg | W20 Avg | W19 Avg |
Worst |
Best |
Range |
1 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
Los Angeles | 2.67 |
3.08 |
3.69 |
2.20 |
2.87 |
7 |
1 |
6 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
Kansas City | 2.83 |
3.15 |
2.54 |
1.20 |
1.21 |
6 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
D.C. | 2.92 |
2.62 |
4.00 |
4.73 |
3.57 |
6 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
Vancouver | 2.92 |
3.23 |
4.69 |
5.07 |
5.93 |
7 |
1 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
8 |
New York RB | 4.50 |
4.92 |
6.31 |
5.87 |
7.93 |
7 |
2 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
Dallas | 5.42 |
4.38 |
1.54 |
2.93 |
3.93 |
10 |
1 |
9 |
7 |
7 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
Portland | 7.33 |
8.23 |
7.69 |
5.93 |
6.29 |
9 |
2 |
7 |
8 |
10 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
Columbus | 9.17 |
11.08 |
8.85 |
8.47 |
12.40 |
12 |
6 |
6 |
9 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
Toronto | 9.25 |
8.77 |
7.62 |
7.73 |
8.47 |
13 |
7 |
6 |
10 |
13 |
13 |
18 |
13 |
Houston | 10.42 |
12.38 |
13.62 |
14.87 |
13.86 |
15 |
7 |
8 |
11 |
9 |
12 |
16 |
15 |
Montreal | 11.33 |
10.85 |
13.54 |
14.53 |
14.50 |
16 |
8 |
8 |
12 |
11 |
16 |
14 |
17 |
New England | 11.50 |
11.92 |
15.00 |
13.33 |
16.79 |
20 |
7 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
10 |
9 |
5 |
Seattle | 13.92 |
12.69 |
10.54 |
8.27 |
5.40 |
20 |
8 |
12 |
14 |
14 |
11 |
12 |
18 |
Salt Lake | 14.50 |
13.23 |
11.38 |
12.60 |
16.67 |
17 |
10 |
7 |
15 |
15 |
18 |
13 |
12 |
Orlando | 15.08 |
13.77 |
16.46 |
13.00 |
12.57 |
20 |
12 |
8 |
16 |
16 |
15 |
11 |
10 |
San Jose | 15.33 |
15.15 |
14.92 |
11.53 |
10.29 |
20 |
11 |
9 |
17 |
17 |
14 |
17 |
14 |
New York FC | 15.92 |
15.62 |
13.69 |
14.73 |
14.33 |
19 |
11 |
8 |
18 |
18 |
17 |
15 |
19 |
Colorado | 17.67 |
17.38 |
15.77 |
14.07 |
17.13 |
20 |
14 |
6 |
19 |
19 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
Chicago | 18.25 |
17.85 |
19.46 |
18.47 |
19.07 |
20 |
13 |
7 |
20 |
20 |
19 |
19 |
16 |
Philadelphia | 18.92 |
19.62 |
18.77 |
16.67 |
15.87 |
20 |
15 |
5 |
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.
Site |
# Exact |
1 off |
2 off |
3+ off |
Furthest off |
most bias vs |
most bias for |
Major League Soccer | 6 |
8 |
5 |
1 |
ORL -3 |
SJE +2.06 |
MON -1.28 |
Soccer by Ives | 5 |
8 |
3 |
4 |
SJE -5 |
RSL +2.92 |
NER -2.20 |
Soccer America | 6 |
2 |
5 |
7 |
FCD -5 |
POR +2.61 |
SJE -2.78 |
ESPN | 5 |
9 |
4 |
2 |
LAG +6 |
NYFC +2.68 |
NER -2.94 |
Seattle Times | NR | NR | NR | NR | NR | NYRB +2.82 |
NER -1.85 |
MLS GB | NR | NR | NR | NR | NR | TFC +3.23 |
RSL -1.48 |
Black & Red United | 4 |
6 |
2 |
8 |
SEA +7 |
TFC +3.01 |
SJE -2.41 |
Sports Illustrated | 1 |
8 |
7 |
4 |
3 @ +/-4 |
NER +3.10 |
VAN -2.24 |
The Mane Land | 6 |
9 |
2 |
3 |
SEA +6 |
VAN +1.76 |
LAG -1.73 |
Who Scored | 3 |
8 |
1 |
8 |
NYFC +6 |
ORL +5.93 |
COL -4.06 |
Reddit /r/MLS |
9 |
9 |
2 |
0 |
HOU +2/VAN -2 |
COL +1.46 |
CLB -1.10 |
Soccer Info. Network | NR |
NR | NR | NR | NR | MON +2.14 |
RSL -2.40 |
Soccer In America | 5 |
10 |
4 |
1 |
LAG +3 |
NYFC +2.08 |
VAN -1.40 |
MLS Fantasy Boss | 5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
SEA +5 |
TFC +4.09 |
NER -3.99 |
Pro Soccer Talk | NR | NR | NR | NR | NR | RSL +2.66 |
SJE -3.28 |
Bleacher Report |
5 |
8 |
6 |
1 |
NER -5 |
NYFC +2.59 |
VAN -2.09 |
Jeff Sagarin |
5 |
4 |
4 |
7 |
SEA +7 |
RSL +3.66 |
COL -4.81 |
Squawka |
4 |
4 |
4 |
8 |
NER +8 |
NER +9.23 |
POR -8.56 |
- Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Reddit /r/MLS with 9 exact and 9 within 1.
- Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with +2 as tiebreaker) Squawka, with Who Scored and Black & Red United not far behind.
- Furthest Off: Squawka placed NER 8 places worse than average.
- Site with Worst Bias: Squawka for placing NER an average of 9.23 places worse than average.
- Sites with Least Bias - both with bias for/against less than 2:
- 1st - Reddit /r/MLS
- 2nd - The Mane Land
- 1st - Reddit /r/MLS
Season Average Power Ranking
Team |
2015
(run. avg)
|
W23 Avg | W22 Avg | W21 Avg | W20 Avg | W19 Avg | 2014 Avg |
2013 Avg |
2012 Avg |
Seattle Sounders | 3.39 |
4.67 |
4.22 |
3.84 |
3.63 |
3.38 |
4.04 |
9.36 |
4.39 |
FC Dallas | 3.99 |
4.66 |
4.63 |
4.64 |
4.90 |
5.30 |
7.09 |
8.78 |
17.17 |
LA Galaxy | 4.58 |
5.25 |
5.37 |
5.48 |
5.68 |
5.87 |
6.77 |
5.14 |
2.46 |
D.C. United |
4.82 |
3.96 |
4.02 |
4.08 |
4.21 |
4.25 |
12.15 |
7.29 |
9.33 |
New York Red Bulls | 6.04 |
5.99 |
6.06 |
6.11 |
6.25 |
6.11 |
11.07 | 6.38 | 7.23 |
Vancouver Whitecaps | 6.71 |
5.15 |
5.25 |
5.34 |
5.43 |
5.50 |
7.40 |
10.41 |
7.87 |
Sporting Kansas City | 8.62 |
5.92 |
6.05 |
6.19 |
6.53 |
6.87 |
4.45 |
4.45 |
3.09 |
Columbus Crew SC | 9.09 |
9.71 |
9.75 |
9.67 |
9.93 |
9.89 |
8.97 |
12.89 |
9.46 |
Real Salt Lake | 9.43 |
11.34 |
11.21 |
11.10 |
11.37 |
11.30 |
2.94 | 4.52 | 8.40 |
Toronto FC | 9.83 |
9.82 |
9.83 |
9.90 |
10.18 |
10.26 |
7.47 |
16.85 |
10.96 |
New England Revolution | 10.30 |
9.90 |
9.83 |
9.73 |
9.67 |
9.33 |
11.50 | 12.35 | 14.84 |
Portland Timbers | 11.21 |
9.81 |
9.92 |
10.00 |
10.30 |
10.55 |
11.34 |
5.73 |
13.89 |
San Jose Earthquakes | 11.72 |
11.11 |
10.94 |
10.72 |
10.65 |
10.57 |
14.44 |
12.34 |
4.86 |
Orlando City | 12.25 |
13.03 |
12.93 |
12.90 |
12.97 |
12.93 |
-- | -- | -- |
New York City FC | 12.97 |
14.82 |
14.77 |
14.73 |
15.09 |
15.11 |
-- | -- | -- |
Houston Dynamo |
12.93 |
13.20 |
13.34 |
13.37 |
13.64 |
13.53 |
9.48 |
7.74 |
6.29 |
Chicago Fire | 16.80 |
16.86 |
16.79 |
16.74 |
16.93 |
16.66 |
15.61 |
14.27 |
13.07 |
Colorado Rapids | 16.93 |
16.89 |
16.87 |
16.83 |
17.22 |
17.24 |
9.66 |
9.79 |
10.06 |
Philadelphia Union |
17.33 |
17.91 |
17.86 |
17.78 |
18.07 |
18.06 |
11.33 |
10.53 |
15.70 |
Montreal Impact |
17.74 |
16.45 |
16.67 |
16.96 |
17.46 |
17.55 |
17.67 | 5.32 |
15.74 |
Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.
Team |
Weekly Best |
Weekly Worst |
Best Wk. Avg. |
Worst Wk. Avg. |
Chicago Fire |
11 |
20 |
11.77 | 19.58 |
Colorado Rapids |
15 |
20 |
14.07 |
19.25 |
Columbus Crew SC |
5 |
14 |
6.14 |
14.20 |
D.C. United |
1 |
10 |
1.87 |
9.57 |
FC Dallas |
1 |
10 | 1.07 |
9.40 |
Houston Dynamo |
7 |
18 |
8.73 |
16.67 |
LA Galaxy |
1 |
11 |
1.67 |
10.93 |
Montreal Impact |
9 |
20 |
10.50 |
19.92 |
New England Revolution |
3 |
17 |
3.21 |
16.79 |
New York City FC |
4 |
20 |
6.29 |
20.00 |
New York Red Bulls |
1 |
11 |
1.27 |
12.80 |
Orlando City |
7 |
18 |
7.58 |
16.46 |
Philadelphia Union |
16 |
20 |
14.83 |
19.69 |
Portland Timbers |
3 |
17 |
4.23 |
16.57 |
Real Salt Lake |
5 |
18 |
4.62 |
16.64 |
San Jose Earthquakes |
7 |
19 |
6.80 |
18.73 |
Seattle Sounders |
1 |
13 |
1.00 |
13.92 |
Sporting Kansas City |
1 |
15 |
1.20 |
14.17 |
Toronto FC |
3 |
17 |
3.36 |
16.62 |
Vancouver Whitecaps |
1 |
15 |
1.33 |
13.73 |