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Week 15 MLS Power Ranking Averages from 15 sites

15 of 18 sites published this week. San Jose make a huge leap, Kansas City drops.

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports


MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 25

For Wk 25 - 15 of 18 sites are included below.

As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk.  3/11/14

Sites Used:

  • Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
  • Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
  • Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
  • ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
  • Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
  • Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
  • Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
  • The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
  • Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
  • Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
  • Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com)
  • MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
  • NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com) *No ranking for Wk 25
  • Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)
  • Jeff Sagarin's MLS Rankings (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
  • Squawka (http://www.squawka.com/football-team-rankings#performance-score#team-stats#us-major-league-soccer)

Possibly Dead List

  • Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com) *No ranking for past 6 weeks
  • MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings) *No ranking for past 4 weeks

Dead List - I'll check it periodically just in case they run one, and their old ratings won't be removed.
* The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking since 5-19-15, site offline 7-27

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias.  Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.



Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk 25 Wk 24 Wk 23 Wk 22 Team
W25 Avg W24 Avg W23 Avg W22 Avg Worst
Best
Range
1
1
1
3
Los Angeles 1.15
1.69
2.67
3.08
3
1
2
2
4
3
4
Vancouver 2.54
4.00
2.92
3.23
9
2
7
3
3
5
6
New York RB 2.62
3.15
4.50
4.92
4
1
3
4
1
2
2
Kansas City 4.69
1.69
2.83
3.15
9
2
7
5
5
3
1
D.C. United
5.85
4.54
2.92
2.62
11
4
7
6
6
7
7
Portland 6.62
6.31
7.33
8.23
8
2
6
7
7
6
5
Dallas 7.46
6.46
5.42
4.38
10
4
6
8
8
8
10
Columbus 8.00
9.00
9.17
11.08
11
4
7
9
9
12
11
New England 9.92
9.69
11.50
11.92
20
5
15
10
11
9
8
Toronto 9.38
11.23
9.25
8.77
14
6
8
11
15
16
16
San Jose 9.77
14.46
15.33
15.15
14
2
12
12
10
13
12
Seattle 12.62
10.77
13.92
12.69
18
8
10
13
13
10
13
Houston 12.85
12.69
10.42
12.38
19
7
12
14
12
11
9
Montreal 14.08
11.92
11.33
10.85
17
12
5
15
16
14
14
Salt Lake 14.15
15.46
14.50
13.23
16
12
4
16
14
17
17
New York FC 16.00
14.00
15.92
15.62
18
11
7
17
19
18
18
Colorado 17.15
18.62
17.67
17.38
19
14
5
18
19
20
20
Philadelphia 17.31
18.62
18.92
19.62
19
13
6
19
17
15
15
Orlando 18.23
16.46
15.08
13.77
20
16
4
20
18
19
19
Chicago 19.62
18.54
18.25
17.85
20
13
7


Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above.  The best and worst # of matches is indicated.  Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.

Site
# Exact
1 off
2 off
3+ off Furthest off
most bias vs
most bias for
Major League Soccer 9
6
3
2
NER +4/TFC -4
SJE +2.04
MON -1.30
Soccer by Ives 14
4
0
2
CLB +3/SJE -3
RSL +2.78
NER -2.05
Soccer America 6
8
5
1
NER +4
POR +2.42
SJE -2.65
ESPN 6
7
6
1
NER -3
NYFC +2.62
NER -2.93
Seattle Times 9
5
5
1
ORL -2
NYRB +2.61
ORL -1.86
MLS GB NR NR NR NR NR TFC +3.19
RSL -1.76
Black & Red United 7
3
3
7
SJE -7
TFC +3.06
SJE -2.59
Sports Illustrated 7
6
2
5
SKC +4/CLB, NER -4
NER +2.59
VAN -2.12
The Mane Land 7
4
5
4
4 @ +/- 3
SEA +1.69
LAG -1.63
Who Scored 1
6
7
6
NER +9
ORL +5.66
NYFC -3.96
Reddit /r/MLS
12
5
2
1
ORL -3
COL +1.43
CLB -1.10
Soccer Info. Network NR
NR NR NR NR MON +2.41
SEA -2.94
Soccer In America 10
4
5
1
TFC -4
NYFC +1.93
VAN -1.23
MLS Fantasy Boss 4
9
3
4
TFC +4
TFC +4.06
NER -3.77
Pro Soccer Talk NR NR NR NR NR SKC +2.63
SJE -3.36
Bleacher Report
12
3
4
1
NER -3
NYFC +2.27
NER -2.00
Jeff Sagarin
2
6
5
7
SJE -9
SEA +3.57
COL -4.37
Squawka
3
3
3
11
NER +11
NER +9.41
POR -8.14
  • Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with +1 as tiebreaker) Soccer By Ives with 14 exact and 4 within 1.
  • Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with +2 as tiebreaker) Squawka with 11 off by +3.
  • Furthest Off: Squawka placed NER 11 places worse than average.
  • Site with Worst Bias: Squawka for placing NER an average of 9.41 places worse than average.
  • Sites with Least Bias - all with bias for/against less than 2:
    • 1st - Reddit /r/MLS
    • 2nd - The Mane Land
    • Soccer In America (back on the top 3)


Season Average Power Ranking

Team
2015
(run. avg)
W25
Avg
W24
Avg
W23
Avg
W22
Avg
W21
Avg
W20
Avg
2014
Avg
2013
Av
g
2012
Avg

Seattle Sounders 3.53
5.23
4.92
4.67
4.22
3.84
3.63
4.04
9.36
4.39
FC Dallas 4.05
4.85
4.74
4.66
4.63
4.64
4.90
7.09
8.78
17.17
LA Galaxy 4.62
4.95
5.10
5.25
5.37
5.48
5.68
6.77
5.14
2.46
D.C. United
4.76
4.06
3.99
3.96
4.02
4.08
4.21
12.15
7.29
9.33
New York Red Bulls 6.03
5.74
5.87
5.99
6.06
6.11
6.25
11.07 6.38 7.23
Vancouver Whitecaps 6.57
5.00
5.10
5.15
5.25
5.34
5.43
7.40
10.41
7.87
Sporting Kansas City 8.39
5.70
5.74
5.92
6.05
6.19
6.53
4.45
4.45
3.09
Columbus Crew SC 9.13
9.62
9.68
9.71
9.75
9.67
9.93
8.97
12.89
9.46
Real Salt Lake 9.60
11.62
11.52
11.34
11.21
11.10
11.37
2.94 4.52 8.40
Toronto FC 9.84
9.86
9.88
9.82
9.83
9.90
10.18
7.47
16.85
10.96
New England Revolution 10.26
9.89
9.89
9.90
9.83
9.73
9.67
11.50 12.35 14.84
Portland Timbers 11.08
9.54
9.66
9.81
9.92
10.00
10.30
11.34
5.73
13.89
San Jose Earthquakes 11.68
11.19
11.25
11.11
10.94
10.72
10.65
14.44
12.34
4.86
Orlando City 12.33
13.38
13.17
13.03
12.93
12.90
12.97
-- -- --
Houston Dynamo 12.95 13.16
13.17
13.20
13.34
13.37
13.64
9.48
7.74
6.29
New York City FC 13.12
14.84
14.79
14.82
14.77
14.73
15.09
-- -- --
Chicago Fire 16.82
17.03
16.93
16.86
16.79
16.74
16.93
15.61
14.27
13.07
Colorado Rapids 16.93
16.97
16.96
16.89
16.87
16.83
17.22
9.66
9.79
10.06
Philadelphia Union
17.38
17.91
17.94
17.91
17.86
17.78
18.07
11.33
10.53
15.70
Montreal Impact
17.62
16.18
16.26
16.45
16.67
16.96
17.46
17.67 5.32
15.74



Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.

Team
Weekly
Best
Weekly
Worst
Best
Wk. Avg.
Worst
Wk. Avg.
Chicago Fire
11
20
11.77 19.62
Colorado Rapids
15
20
14.07
19.25
Columbus Crew SC
5
14
6.14
14.20
D.C. United
1
10
1.87
9.57
FC Dallas
1
10 1.07
9.40
Houston Dynamo
7
18
8.73
16.67
LA Galaxy
1
11
1.15
10.93
Montreal Impact
9
20
10.50
19.92
New England Revolution
3
17
3.21
16.79
New York City FC
4
20
6.29
20.00
New York Red Bulls
1
11
1.27
12.80
Orlando City
7
19
7.58
18.23
Philadelphia Union
16
20
14.83
19.69
Portland Timbers
3
17
4.23
16.57
Real Salt Lake
5
18
4.62
16.64
San Jose Earthquakes
7
19
6.80
18.73
Seattle Sounders
1
13
1.00
13.92
Sporting Kansas City
1
15
1.20
14.17
Toronto FC
3
17
3.36
16.62
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
15
1.33
13.73