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Week 29 Power Ranking Averages

13 of 17 sites published, and I received two retroactive rankings for last week which have been updated. Columbus & NYCFC make huge leaps.

Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports


MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 29

Two sites had late rankings for week 28 so last week's averages have been adjusted slightly.  For Wk 29 - 13 of the 17 sites are included below. 

As always, if you come across any that I have not included please send me a link and I'll add it to the list for next season.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk.  3/11/14

Sites Used:

  • Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
  • Soccer America (www.socceramerica.com)
  • ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
  • Seattle Times Blog (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
  • Black & Red United (www.blackandredunited.com)
  • Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
  • The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
  • Who Scored 'team rating' (whoscored.com/Regions/233/Tournaments/85/USA-Major-League-Soccer)
  • Reddit MLS subreddit (reddit/r/mls)
  • Soccer In America (soccer-in-america.com)
  • NBC Sports Pro Soccer Talk (prosoccertalk.nbcsports.com) *No ranking for Wk 29
  • Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls)
  • Jeff Sagarin's MLS Rankings (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
  • Squawka (http://www.squawka.com/football-team-rankings#performance-score#team-stats#us-major-league-soccer)

Possibly Dead Lists

  • Soccer by Ives (www.sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings) *No ranking since Wk 25
  • MLS GB (mlsbg.com/tag/power-rankings) *No ranking since Wk 26
  • MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com) *No ranking since Wk 26

Dead Lists - I'll check it periodically just in case they run one; their old ratings won't be removed.

  • The Sports Network (sportsnetwork.com) *No ranking since 5-19-15, site offline 7-27
  • Soccer Information Network (soccerinformationnetwork.com) *No ranking since 6/30

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias.  Each week I'll also be listing the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.



Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk 29 Wk 28 Wk 27 Wk 26 Team
W29 Avg W28 Avg W27 Avg W26 Avg Worst
Best
Range
1
1
1
1
New York RB 1
1.33
1.36
1.46
2
1
1
2
6
6
5
Columbus 3.55
6.00
7.00
5.69
10
2
8
3
3
3
3
Vancouver 4.55 3.22 3.73 3.46 15
2
13
4
2
2
2
Los Angeles 4.73
2.78
1.73
2.00
8
1
7
4
4
4
4
Dallas 4.73
4.11
4.36
5.46
8
2
6
6
5
5
9
New England 5.27
5.67
6.18
8.69
18
2
16
7
10
12
12
Seattle 7.36
9.89
10.82
11.69
12
4
8
8
9
7
6
Kansas City 7.64
9.56
7.36
7.62
12
2
10
9
12
8
9
Toronto 9.73
10.44
9.00
8.69
18
4
14
10
7
8
11
Portland 10.82
8.00
9.00
9.15
14
3
11
11
8
8
8
D.C. United 11.00
9.00
9.00
8.31
16
9
7
12
13
14
16
Montreal 11.18
13.67
14.18
15.62
16
8
8
13
10
11
7
San Jose 12.00
9.89
9.18
7.69
15
5
10
14
14
16
15
Salt Lake 12.09
13.89
15.91
15.54
15
7
8
15
19
18
17
New York FC 15.36
18.67
17.91
17.23
18
9
9
16
17
20
19
Orlando 16.36
17.44
19.18
18.23
20
13
7
17
15
13
13
Houston 16.45
14.44
12.91
12.00
18
13
5
18
18
17
20
Philadelphia 16.82
17.89
16.64
19.00
19
12
7
19
16
15
14
Colorado 18.64
16.11
15.36
14.62
20
15
5
20
20
19
18
Chicago 19.73
18.78
18.73
17.69
20
14
6


Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above.  The best and worst # of matches is indicated.  Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against.

Site
# Exact
1 off
2 off
3+ off Furthest off
most bias vs
most bias for
Major League Soccer 5
8
6
1
POR +3
SJE +1.89
TFC -1.58
Soccer by Ives NA
NA NA NA NA RSL +2.29
NER -1.78
Soccer America 6
7
4
3
SEA +3/COL,HOU -3
POR +1.96
SJE -2.51
ESPN 5
8
2
5
5 @+/-3
NYFC +2.24
NER -3.09
Seattle Times 3
12
3
2
CLB +4
NYRB +2.01
ORL -1.94
MLS GB NA NA NA NA NA TFC +2.79
RSL -2.02
Black & Red United 7
6
3
4
SJE -7
TFC +3.02
SJE -2.87
Sports Illustrated 8
3
2
7
SKC +4/MON,RSL -4
SKC +2.37
VAN -1.67
The Mane Land 6
9
1
4
RSL -5
SEA +1.34
LAG -1.53
Who Scored 5
2
2
11
NER +9
NER +5.00
NYFC -4.50
Reddit /r/MLS
8
9
3
0
LAG,NYFC,POR +2
COL +1.02
CLB -1.16
Soccer In America 6
9
2
3
NER -4
NYFC +1.78
NER -1.20
MLS Fantasy Boss NA NA NA NA NA TFC +3.91
NER -3.51
Pro Soccer Talk NA NA NA NA NA SKC +2.32
SJE -3.37
Bleacher Report
6
5
8
1
LAG +4
RSL +1.93
NER -2.19
Jeff Sagarin
3
3
4
10
TFC +9
SEA +3.85
COL -4.71
Squawka
0
5
3
12
NER,VAN +12
NER +9.38
POR -7.72
  • Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with 1 off as tiebreaker) Reddit/r/MLS with 8 exact and 9 one away.
  • Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with 2 off as tiebreaker) Squawka with 12 off by 3.
  • Furthest Off: Squawka placed NER and VAN 12 places worse than average.
  • Site with Worst Bias: Squawka for placing NER an average of 9.38 places worse than average (up .11 from last week!).
  • Sites with Least Bias - all with bias for/against less than 2 (Seattle Times is VERY close):
    • 1st - Reddit /r/MLS
    • 2nd - The Mane Land
    • 3rd - Soccer In America
    • 4th - Major League Soccer


Season Average Power Ranking

Team
2015
(run. avg)
W29
Avg
W28
Avg
W27
Avg
W26
Avg
2014
Avg
2013
Av
g
2012
Avg

Seattle Sounders 3.94
5.94
5.89
5.78
5.58
4.04
9.36
4.39
FC Dallas 4.21
4.89
4.90
4.92
4.94
7.09
8.78
17.17
LA Galaxy 4.71
4.74
4.74
4.79
4.91
6.77
5.14
2.46
D.C. United
4.85
4.92
4.71
4.49
4.32
12.15
7.29
9.33
New York Red Bulls 6.04
5.25
5.40
5.53
5.69
11.07 6.38 7.23
Vancouver Whitecaps 6.37
4.81
4.82
4.94
4.98
7.40
10.41
7.87
Sporting Kansas City 8.22
6.11
6.06
5.95
5.90
4.45
4.45
3.09
Columbus Crew SC 9.33
9.26
9.46
9.53
9.63
8.97
12.89
9.46
Toronto FC 10.00
9.98
9.99
9.92
9.96
7.47
16.85
10.96
Real Salt Lake 10.11
12.11
12.11
12.12
11.98
2.94
4.52
8.40
New England Revolution 10.37
9.62
9.78
9.87
10.01
11.50
12.35
14.84
Portland Timbers 11.04
9.51
9.47
9.66
9.68
11.34
5.73
13.89
San Jose Earthquakes 11.63
11.08
11.05
11.09
11.16
14.44
12.34
4.86
Orlando City 12.72
14.20
14.13
13.96
13.76
-- -- --
Houston Dynamo 13.17
13.49
13.39
13.31
13.33
9.48
7.74
6.29
New York City FC 13.58
15.37
15.37
15.26
15.16
-- -- --
Chicago Fire 17.12
17.46
17.38
17.36
17.31
15.61
14.27
13.07
Colorado Rapids 17.18
17.08
17.02
17.07
17.14
9.66
9.79
10.06
Montreal Impact 17.67
16.10
16.27
16.33
16.41
17.67
5.32
15.74
Philadelphia Union
17.74
18.11
18.15
18.16
18.22
11.33
10.53
15.70



Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.

Team
Weekly
Best
Weekly
Worst
Best
Wk. Avg.
Worst
Wk. Avg.
Chicago Fire
11
20
11.79 19.80
Colorado Rapids
14
20
14.62
19.23
Columbus Crew SC
2
14
3.55
14.25
D.C. United
1
11
2.19
11.00
FC Dallas
1
10 1.13
9.25
Houston Dynamo
7
18
8.50
16.69
LA Galaxy
1
11
1.15
10.88
Montreal Impact
9
20
10.85
19.93
New England Revolution
3
17
3.33
17.00
New York City FC
4
20
6.73
20.00
New York Red Bulls
1
11
1.00
12.63
Orlando City
7
20
7.46
19.18
Philadelphia Union
16
20
14.77
19.62
Portland Timbers
3
17
4.23
16.33
Real Salt Lake
5
18
4.43
16.64
San Jose Earthquakes
7
19
7.06
18.33
Seattle Sounders
1
13
1.00
13.92
Sporting Kansas City
1
15
1.21
14.13
Toronto FC
3
17
3.33
17.25
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
15
1.31
13.75
  • Largest Range (position): New York FC = 16 point span
  • Smallest Range (position): Philadelphia = 4 point span
  • 7 teams have been ranked first
  • 6 teams have been ranked last