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Week 14 Power Ranking Averages

9 of 19 sites published due to Copa America.

By Kreg Asay
Copa coverage limits Power Rankings
Copa coverage limits Power Rankings
Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports


Due to the Copa America only 9 of 19 sites published for Week 14.

Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":

"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk.  3/11/14

Sites Used:

  • Who Scored (whoscored.com)
  • Squawka (squawka.com)
  • Jeff Sagarin (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
  • Sports Club Stats (www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html) * No ranking Wk 14
  • Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com) * No ranking Wk 14
  • ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer) * No ranking Wk 14
  • SoccerAmerica (socceramerica.com)
  • The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
  • Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
  • Reddit user/FlyingCarsArePlanes (User analytic ranking)
  • Reddit r/MLS (reddit.com/r/mls)
  • MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com) * No ranking Wk 14
  • Soccer By Ives (sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings) * No ranking Wk 13-14
  • Hot Footy (hotfooty.com/major-league-soccer) * No ranking Wk 14
  • Bleacher Report (bleacherreport.com/mls) - No ranking Wks 10-14
  • Seattle Times (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz) * No ranking Wk 13-14
  • Power Rankings & More (powerrankingsandmore.com/tag/mls)
  • The Score (thescore.com/mls/news) * No ranking Wk 14
  • Sportify (sportify.io/category/analysis) * No ranking Wk 13-14

You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias.  The 'analytic' sites that are based on numbers make up a control group since they are based on performance and/or results rather than opinion.  Each week I'll list the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.

As with previous years, if you know of a site that I have not listed, please let me know in the comments below and I'll add it!

Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.

Wk14 Wk13 Wk12 Team
Wk13
Avg
Wk13
Avg
Wk12
Avg
Worst
 		Best
 		Range
1
 1
 1
 Colorado 1.14
 1.50
 1.43
 11
 1
 10
2
 4
 5
 Philadelphia 2.86
 4.50
 5.93
 4
 2
 2
3
 2
 2
 Los Angeles 3.14
 3.08
 2.57
 7
 1
 6
4
 3
 3
 Dallas 4.14
 3.42
 3.21
 9
 2
 7
5
 6
 4
 Salt Lake 5.00
 7.00
 4.93
 14
 3
 11
6
 5
 9
 New York RB 7.00
 6.92
 10.07
 10
 4
 6
7
 7
 8
 Montreal 7.29
 7.58
 9.57
 10
 5
 5
8
 8
 6
 San Jose 9.00
 7.83
 6.71
 13
 6
 7
9
 9
 7
 Toronto 9.71
 10.33
 7.43
 15
 6
 9
10
 12
 11
 Portland 10.71
 13.42
 11.71
 17
 8
 9
11
 10
 10
 Vancouver 11.43
 11.25
 11.07
 20
 5
 15
11
 11
 12
 Orlando 11.43
 12.92
 12.93
 19
 9
 10
13
 18
 14
 Seattle 13.86
 18.33
 14.50
 18
 3
 15
14
 15
 15
 New York FC 14.43
 15.33
 14.79
 19
 10
 9
15
 14
 17
 Columbus 14.57
 14.92
 17.43
 18
 5
 13
16
 16
 13
 Kansas City 15.29
 17.00
 14.36
 18
 4
 14
17
 13
 16
 D. C. U. 15.57
 14.33
 17.14
 18
 9
 9
18
 16
 18
 New England 16.00
 17.00
 18.86
 19
 11
 8
19
 19
 19
 Houston 17.71
 19.92
 20.00
 19
 14
 5
20
 20
 19
 Chicago 19.57
 20.00
 20.00
 20
 14
 6
  • Largest Rise: Seattle +5
  • Largest Fall: D.C. United -4
  • Largest Range: Vancouver, Seattle (15)
  • Smallest Range: Philadelphia (2)

Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above.  The best and worst # of matches is indicated.  Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against (including Preseason ranking).

Site
 		# Exact
 		1 off
 		2 off
 3+ off Furthest off
 		most bias vs
 		most bias for
Who Scored
 1
 4
 5
 10
 VAN
 VAN -5.31
 NYFC +6.55
Squawka
 1
 2
 4
 13
 SKC
 VAN -5.31
 CLB +9.63
Jeff Sagarin
 6
 5
 4
 5
 3@ +/-5
 POR -2.58
 HOU +3.46
Sports Club Stats
 NR



POR -6.44
 CHI +5.36
Sports Illustrated NR



COL -2.33 SEA +4.25
ESPN
 NR



RSL -2.84
 POR +4.49
Soccer America 4
 10
 2
 4
 VAN
 NYRB -1.75 CHI +3.57
The Mane Land 3
 5
 5
 7
 DCU
 PHI -2.83 VAN +4.43
Major League Soccer 5
 8
 5
 2
 NER
 LAG -2.16 NYRB +3.56
Reddit u/FlyingCarsArePlanes 2
 7
 5
 6
 VAN
 FCD -2.71 CLB +5.12
Reddit r/MLS 7
 7
 3
 3
 NYRB/VAN
 PHI -0.43 VAN +1.96
MLS Fantasy Boss
 NR



PHI -4.94
 POR +7.51
Soccer By Ives NR



COL -2.26 SEA +3.33
The Score NR



COL -2.95 VAN +2.91
Bleacher Report NR



NYFC -2.23
 VAN +2.83
Seattle Times NR



COL -1.72
 VAN +3.08
Power Rankings & More 6
 7
 2
 5
 NER
 TFC -1.96 NER +3.24
Hot Footy NR



PHI -2.13
 SKC +2.26
Sportify




SKC -5.19
 COL +4.96
  • Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with 1 off as tiebreaker) Reddit r/mls:  with 7 exact matches.
  • Least Accurate Site: (most 3+ with 2 off, and 1 off as tiebreaker): Squawka with 13 off by 3+.
  • Site with Worst Bias VS:  Sports Club Stats with POR 6.44 from avg (improving).
  • Site with Worst Bias FOR: Squawka with CLB 9.63 places from avg (slightly better).
  • Site with Least Bias VS: Reddit r/MLS with PHI 0.43 places from avg.
  • Site with Least Bias FOR: Reddit r/MLS with VAN 1.96 places from avg.

Season Average Power Ranking
The 5 Year Weighted Average is calculated using a variation of the "FIFA method" with the current year counting for 100%, and previous years counting for a decreasing amount.  The table is ordered based on the Weighted Points.

Team
Week
14
Week
13
Week
12
 5 Yr
Avg*
 Weighted
Pts*
Week
13
 Wk
12
LA Galaxy 3.57
 3.60
 3.65
 5.37
 83.78
 83.75 83.70
FC Dallas 4.17
 4.17
 4.24
 7.32
 79.38
 79.38 79.31
Sporting Kansas City 8.01
 7.45
 6.66
 5.51
 79.04
 79.60
 80.39
Real Salt Lake 6.73
 6.86
 6.85
 6.31
 75.78
 75.65 75.66
Seattle Sounders 15.02
 15.11
 14.84
 7.68
 71.41
 71.32 71.59
New York Red Bulls 13.96
 14.50
 15.13
 8.16
 69.64
 69.10 68.47
Vancouver Whitecaps 12.83
 12.93
 13.07
 9.04
 69.20
 69.10
 68.96
Portland Timbers 9.78
 9.71
 9.40
 10.52
 66.10
 66.17 66.48
Toronto FC 7.04
 6.84
 6.55
 12.09
 64.58
 64.78 65.07
San Jose Earthquakes 8.48
 8.44
 8.49
 9.96
 63.25
 63.29 63.24
Orlando City * 11.44
 11.44
 11.32
 10.53
 62.27
 62.27 62.39
Montreal Impact 5.46
 5.31
 5.13
 11.44
 61.75
 61.90 62.08
D.C. United 17.14
 17.26
 17.51
 11.05
 61.44
 61.32 61.07
Columbus Crew SC 15.49
 15.56
 15.62
 11.67
 60.11
 60.04 59.98
Colorado Rapids 8.36
 8.91
 9.53
 12.00
 59.19
 58.64 58.02
New England Revolution 15.78
 15.76
 15.66
 12.45
 58.47
 58.49 58.59
New York City FC * 14.55
 14.56
 14.50
 11.40
 58.03
 58.02 58.08
Philadelphia Union 8.70
 9.15
 9.54
 12.85
 57.13
 56.68 56.29
Houston Dynamo 16.17
 16.05
 15.73
 11.44
 56.28
 56.40 56.72
Chicago Fire 19.14
 19.10
 18.95
 14.93
 44.11
 44.15 44.30

* Expansion teams points adjusted to compensate - (median of 9 for missing years)

Team High / Low
Best and worst placement for each team in weekly, avg rank total.

Team
 		Best
Avg
 Worst
Avg
 Best
Pos		 Worst
Pos
Chicago Fire
 17.06
 20.00
 17
 20
Colorado Rapids
 1.14
 19.50
 1
 20
Columbus Crew SC
 8.06
 20.00
 7
 20
D.C. United
 14.33
 20.00
 13
 20
FC Dallas
 1.73
 8.81
 1
 8
Houston Dynamo
 8.19
 20.00
 7
 20
LA Galaxy
 1.25
 7.69
 1
 6
Montreal Impact
 1.19
 9.57
 1
 8
New England Revolution
 11.06
 19.19
 9
 19
New York City FC
 10.25
 19.94
 9
 19
New York Red Bulls
 6.92
 20.00
 5
 20
Orlando City
 4.80
 15.37
 3
 16
Philadelphia Union
 2.86
 19.78
 2
 18
Portland Timbers
 1.94
 14.67
 2
 13
Real Salt Lake
 2.06
 14.67
 2
 15
San Jose Earthquakes
 5.31
 11.06
 5
 12
Seattle Sounders
 9.44
 19.25
 9
 18
Sporting Kansas City
 1.31
 17.00
 1
 16
Toronto FC
 3.06
 10.94
 3
 9
Vancouver Whitecaps
 9.13
 16.29
 7
 16
  • Largest Range (position): 19 (Colorado)
  • Smallest Range (position): 3 (Chicago)
  • 5 teams have been ranked first
  • 6 teams have been ranked last

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