/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/50054589/usa-today-9250588.0.jpg)
15 of 18 sites published for Week 17. Black & Red United has been added to the rankings, and their ranks from Wk 14 on are now included in the totals.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
- Who Scored (whoscored.com)
- Jeff Sagarin (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
- Sports Club Stats (www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html)
- Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com) * No ranking Wk 14-17
- ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer)
- SoccerAmerica (socceramerica.com)
- Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Soccer By Ives (sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings)
- Reddit user/FlyingCarsArePlanes (User analytic ranking)
- Reddit r/MLS (reddit.com/r/mls)
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com) * No ranking Wk 17
- The Score (thescore.com/mls/news)
- Seattle Times (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
- Power Rankings & More (powerrankingsandmore.com/tag/mls)
- Hot Footy (hotfooty.com/major-league-soccer)
- Sportify (sportify.io/category/analysis) * No ranking Wk 17
- Black & Red United (blackandredunited.com)
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. The 'analytic' sites that are based on numbers make up a control group since they are based on performance and/or results rather than opinion. Each week I'll list the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
As with previous years, if you know of a site that I have not listed, please let me know in the comments below and I'll add it!
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk17 | Wk16 | Wk15 |
Team |
Wk17
Avg
|
Wk16
Avg
|
Wk15
Avg
|
Worst |
Best |
Range |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Colorado | 1.46 |
1.08 |
1.09 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
Dallas | 2.00 |
2.85 |
4.55 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
Los Angeles | 4.08 |
5.46 |
5.36 |
7 |
1 |
6 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
Salt Lake | 4.62 |
4.77 |
5.27 |
10 |
3 |
7 |
5 |
11 |
13 |
New York FC | 6.15 |
11.54 |
14.91 |
16 |
3 |
13 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
Montreal | 6.62 |
8.85 |
8.18 |
10 |
3 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
Philadelphia | 8.15 |
6.54 |
5.18 |
12 |
5 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
Portland | 9.23 |
9.54 |
11.36 |
16 |
4 |
12 |
9 |
4 |
2 |
New York RB | 9.46 |
5.85 |
4.18 |
11 |
6 |
5 |
10 |
14 |
15 |
Kansas City | 11.08 |
14.54 |
14.36 |
15 |
7 |
8 |
11 |
8 |
9 |
San Jose | 12.00 |
8.31 |
7.64 |
14 |
7 |
7 |
12 |
12 |
8 |
Toronto | 12.15 |
11.69 |
8.82 |
16 |
5 |
11 |
13 |
10 |
12 |
Vancouver | 13.46 |
10.85 |
13.91 |
20 |
8 |
12 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
D. C. U. | 14.00 |
15.77 |
17.09 |
15 |
5 |
10 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
Orlando | 15.92 |
12.31 |
13.82 |
18 |
11 |
7 |
16 |
19 |
19 |
Houston | 17.54 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
19 |
12 |
7 |
17 |
16 |
14 |
New England | 18.23 |
17.69 |
14.64 |
19 |
15 |
4 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
Seattle | 19.46 |
19.62 |
18.82 |
20 |
17 |
3 |
19 |
17 |
17 |
Columbus | 19.62 |
17.77 |
18.18 |
20 |
12 |
8 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
Chicago | 20.00 | 20.00 | 20.00 | 20 |
15 |
5 |
- Largest Rise: New York City FC +6
- Largest Fall: New York Red Bulls -5
- Largest Range: New York City FC (13)
- Smallest Range: Colorado (1)
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against (including Preseason ranking).
Site |
# Exact |
1 off |
2 off |
3 off |
4 off |
5+ off |
Furthest off |
most bias vs |
most bias for |
Who Scored |
6 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
6 |
DCU |
VAN -6.43 |
NYFC +5.86 |
Jeff Sagarin |
5 |
5 |
5 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
NYFC |
POR -2.82 |
HOU +3.35 |
Sports Club Stats |
5 |
3 |
7 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
POR |
POR -6.41 |
CHI +3.79 |
Sports Illustrated | NA |
COL -3.89 | SEA +4.72 | ||||||
ESPN |
2 |
8 |
3 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
PHI/RSL |
RSL -3.19 |
POR +4.24 |
Soccer America | 7 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
LAG/POR |
NYRB -2.18 | CHI +2.61 |
Major League Soccer | 6 |
11 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
MTL |
LAG -2.00 | TFC +2.52 |
The Mane Land | 4 |
9 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
PHI |
PHI -2.86 | VAN +3.54 |
Soccer By Ives | 7 |
6 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7@ +/-2 |
COL -3.20 | SEA +3.42 |
Reddit u/FlyingCarsArePlanes | 4 |
7 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
DCU |
FCD -2.77 | CLB +4.84 |
Reddit r/MLS | 8 |
11 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
SJE |
COL -0.59 | POR +1.25 |
MLS Fantasy Boss |
NA |
PHI -4.46 |
POR +6.85 |
||||||
The Score | 5 |
9 |
0 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
SKC |
COL -2.58 | VAN +2.11 |
Power Rankings & More | 5 |
8 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
CHI |
TFC -2.11 |
NYFC +3.11 |
Seattle Times | 5 |
9 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
VAN |
COL -1.08 |
VAN +2.29 |
Hot Footy | 6 |
9 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
POR |
PHI -2.03 |
SKC +2.29 |
Sportify |
NA |
SKC -4.57 |
SEA +3.82 |
||||||
Black & Red United |
9 |
8 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3@ +/-2 |
TFC -4.88 |
COL +5.80 |
- Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with 1 off as tiebreaker) Black & Red United: with 9 exact matches.
- Least Accurate Site: (most 5+ with 4 and 3 off as tiebreaker): Who Scored with 6 off by 5+.
- Site with Worst Bias VS: Who Scored with POR 6.43 from avg.
- Site with Worst Bias FOR: MLS Fantasy Boss with POR 6.85 places from avg.
- Site with Least Bias VS: Reddit r/MLS with COL 0.59 places from avg.
- Site with Least Bias FOR: Reddit r/MLS with POR 1.25 places from avg.
Season Average Power Ranking
The 5 Year Weighted Average is calculated using a variation of the "FIFA method" with the current year counting for 100%, and previous years counting for a decreasing amount. The table is ordered based on the Weighted Points.
Team |
Week
17
|
Week
16
|
Week
15
|
5 Yr Avg* |
Weighted Pts* |
Week
16
|
Week
15
|
LA Galaxy | 3.83 |
3.82 |
3.71 |
5.42 |
83.52 |
83.53 |
83.64 |
FC Dallas | 3.67 |
3.77 |
3.84 |
7.22 |
79.88 |
79.78 |
79.71 |
Sporting Kansas City | 8.93 |
8.80 |
8.42 |
5.69 |
78.12 |
78.25 |
78.63 |
Real Salt Lake | 6.10 |
6.19 |
6.28 |
6.19 |
76.41 |
76.32 |
76.23 |
New York Red Bulls | 11.88 |
12.03 |
12.44 |
7.74 |
71.72 |
71.57 |
71.16 |
Seattle Sounders | 15.49 |
15.25 |
14.96 |
7.77 |
70.94 |
71.18 |
71.47 |
Vancouver Whitecaps | 11.98 |
11.89 |
11.95 |
8.87 |
70.05 |
70.14 |
70.08 |
Portland Timbers | 9.42 |
9.43 |
9.43 |
10.44 |
66.46 |
66.45 |
66.45 |
Toronto FC | 7.52 |
7.23 |
6.93 |
12.18 |
64.10 |
64.39 |
64.69 |
San Jose Earthquakes | 8.17 |
7.93 |
7.90 |
9.90 |
63.56 |
63.80 |
63.83 |
D.C. United | 16.24 |
16.39 |
16.43 |
10.87 |
62.34 |
62.19 |
62.15 |
Orlando City * | 11.38 |
11.10 |
11.02 |
10.52 |
62.33 |
62.61 |
62.69 |
Montreal Impact | 5.76 |
5.71 |
5.50 |
11.50 |
61.45 |
61.50 |
61.71 |
Colorado Rapids | 6.80 |
7.13 |
7.53 |
11.69 |
60.75 |
60.42 |
60.02 |
Columbus Crew SC | 15.84 |
15.61 |
15.46 |
11.74 |
59.76 |
59.99 |
60.14 |
New England Revolution | 15.43 |
15.25 |
15.09 |
12.38 |
58.82 |
59.00 |
59.16 |
New York City FC * | 13.86 |
14.35 |
14.53 |
11.27 |
58.72 |
58.23 |
58.05 |
Philadelphia Union | 7.97 |
7.96 |
8.05 |
12.71 |
57.86 |
57.87 |
57.78 |
Houston Dynamo | 16.29 |
16.21 |
15.96 |
11.47 |
56.16 |
56.24 |
56.49 |
Chicago Fire | 18.96 |
18.86 |
18.69 |
14.89 |
44.29 |
44.39 |
44.56 |
* Expansion teams points adjusted to compensate - (median of 9 for missing years)