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6 of 9 sites published this week. Sorry about missing last week, I came up to Salt Lake for the Utah Royals & Real Salt Lake games. Much movement in the middle of the table, top and bottom remain firm.
Now on to the rankings. As always, if you come across a site that I’ve not included please send me their link!
Sites Used
- Five Thirty Eight (season projected points)
- NWSL
- Reddit NWSL - No ranking for week 16-17
- Philly Soccer Page
- MLS Multiplex - No ranking wk 15-17
- Backline Soccer - No ranking for week 16-17
- Stumptown Footy
- RSL Soapbox (my rankings, will include below).
- Sports Club Stats (win shield %)
You may notice the list includes several ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a stable counterbalance to the rest which are based more on personal opinions, and those done by ‘team’ blogs’. There are also included sites that some will argue are really ‘prediction rankings’ - but in reality isn’t that what a Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top).
NWSL Power Ranking Averages
| Wk 16 | Wk 17 | Wk 19 | Team | W16 avg | W17 avg | W19 avg | Best | Worst | St. Dev | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 16 | Wk 17 | Wk 19 | Team | W16 avg | W17 avg | W19 avg | Best | Worst | St. Dev | 2018 |
| 5 | 4 | 4 | Chicago Red Stars | 4.667 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 3 | 4 | 0.45 | 5.198 |
| 7 | 6 | 7 | Houston Dash | 6.667 | 6.167 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7.269 |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | North Carolina Courage | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.057 |
| 4 | 4 | 5 | Orlando Pride | 4.333 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 5 | 6 | 0.45 | 4.308 |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | Portland Thorns | 2.667 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0.71 | 3.303 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | Seattle Reign | 2.333 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 3 | 0.45 | 2.581 |
| 9 | 9 | 9 | Sky Blue FC | 9 | 9 | 8.8 | 8 | 9 | 0.45 | 8.552 |
| 6 | 7 | 6 | Utah Royals | 6.333 | 6.833 | 5.8 | 5 | 6 | 0.45 | 5.154 |
| 8 | 8 | 8 | Washington Spirit | 8 | 8 | 8.2 | 8 | 9 | 0.45 | 7.506 |
- Highest Standard Deviation: 4 teams at 0.55
- Lowest Standard Deviation: 3 teams at 0
Site Bias
This table shows how far each team is from average listed by site. Negatives are better (higher on table), positives are worse (lower on table) than the season average from all sites. The further off a site is for each team may indicate how strongly biased they are.
NWSL Ranking Site Bias
| Team / Site | AVG | 538 | NWSL | Reddit /r/NWSL | Philly | MLS Multiplex | Backline | ST Foot | RSL SB | Soc. Club Stat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team / Site | AVG | 538 | NWSL | Reddit /r/NWSL | Philly | MLS Multiplex | Backline | ST Foot | RSL SB | Soc. Club Stat |
| Chicago Red Stars | 5.198 | 0.112 | -0.378 | -0.278 | 0.332 | -0.998 | 0.252 | 0.582 | 0.392 | 0.182 |
| Houston Dash | 7.269 | 0.231 | -0.449 | 0.421 | 0.381 | 0.031 | 0.641 | -0.829 | -0.679 | -0.389 |
| North Carolina Courage | 1.057 | 0.073 | 0.003 | -0.057 | 0.183 | -0.057 | -0.057 | -0.057 | 0.183 | -0.057 |
| Orlando Pride | 4.308 | -0.678 | 0.512 | -0.228 | -0.658 | -0.108 | 0.692 | -1.198 | 0.452 | -0.808 |
| Portland Thorns | 3.303 | -0.113 | 0.287 | 0.077 | -1.363 | 0.597 | 0.427 | 0.697 | -0.013 | 0.827 |
| Seattle Reign | 2.581 | -0.141 | 0.129 | 0.189 | 1.009 | 0.219 | -0.311 | 0.199 | 0.069 | -0.451 |
| Sky Blue | 8.552 | 0.078 | 0.208 | 0.068 | -0.432 | 0.048 | -0.102 | 0.448 | -0.492 | 0.448 |
| Utah Royals | 5.154 | 0.226 | -0.034 | 0.386 | -0.214 | 0.946 | -0.604 | -0.044 | -0.864 | -0.154 |
| Washington Spirit | 7.506 | 0.304 | -0.326 | -0.656 | 0.674 | -0.606 | -0.866 | 0.274 | 0.554 | 0.494 |
| MAX | 8.552 | 0.304 | 0.512 | 0.421 | 1.009 | 0.946 | 0.692 | 0.697 | 0.554 | 0.827 |
| MIN | 1.057 | -0.678 | -0.449 | -0.656 | -1.363 | -0.998 | -0.866 | -1.198 | -0.864 | -0.808 |
NWSL Season avg. by site
| Team / Site | AVG | 538 | NWSL | Reddit /r/NWSL | Philly | MLS Multiplex | Backline | ST Foot | RSL SB | Soc. Club Stat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team / Site | AVG | 538 | NWSL | Reddit /r/NWSL | Philly | MLS Multiplex | Backline | ST Foot | RSL SB | Soc. Club Stat |
| Chicago Red Stars | 5.198 | 5.31 | 4.82 | 4.92 | 5.53 | 4.2 | 5.45 | 5.78 | 5.59 | 5.38 |
| Houston Dash | 7.269 | 7.5 | 6.82 | 7.69 | 7.65 | 7.3 | 7.91 | 6.44 | 6.59 | 6.88 |
| North Carolina Courage | 1.057 | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1 | 1.24 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.24 | 1 |
| Orlando Pride | 4.308 | 3.63 | 4.82 | 4.08 | 3.65 | 4.2 | 5 | 3.11 | 4.76 | 3.5 |
| Portland Thorns | 3.303 | 3.19 | 3.59 | 3.38 | 1.94 | 3.9 | 3.73 | 4 | 3.29 | 4.13 |
| Seattle Reign | 2.581 | 2.44 | 2.71 | 2.77 | 3.59 | 2.8 | 2.27 | 2.78 | 2.65 | 2.13 |
| Sky Blue | 8.552 | 8.63 | 8.76 | 8.62 | 8.12 | 8.6 | 8.45 | 9 | 8.06 | 9 |
| Utah Royals | 5.154 | 5.38 | 5.12 | 5.54 | 4.94 | 6.1 | 4.55 | 5.11 | 4.29 | 5 |
| Washington Spirit | 7.506 | 7.81 | 7.18 | 6.85 | 8.18 | 6.9 | 6.64 | 7.78 | 8.06 | 8 |
RSL Soapbox Power Rankings
My rankings are a point-based system that rewards or punishes anything outside of ‘normal’. Normal being home team winning, and away team losing, goals scored also play a part. Wins or ties are better for road teams because it is not expected.
RSL Soapbox NWSL Power Ranking
| TEAM ~> WEEK | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM ~> WEEK | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| Chicago Red Stars | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | |||||||
| Houston Dash | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | |||||||
| North Carolina Courage | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| Orlando Pride | 6 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | |||||||
| Portland Thorns | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |||||||
| Seattle Reign | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||||||
| Sky Blue | 5 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | |||||||
| Utah Royals | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | |||||||
| Washington Spirit | 9 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |