/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/64828654/NWSL_Power_Rankings_Averages.0.png)
Only 5 of the 7 sites ranked this week, and once again there is a tie at the top! This time it’s between North Carolina Courage and Portland Thorns FC. Averages do not include the games from Wednesday night. One last item, if you think you missed seeing the Week 13 rankings, you are right - there wasn’t one. I was out of town to watch the Utah Royals FC vs Portland Thorns match. Last week’s numbers are included below however.
As always, if you know of a site I have not used please let me know in the comments and I’ll look into adding it!
Sites Used
- Five Thirty Eight (Projected Pts.)
- Soccer Club Stats (Win League %) - No Ranking Wk. 14
- Backline Soccer
- Reddit/r/NWSL
- RSL Soapbox (Published earlier this week)
- NWSL - No Ranking Wk. 14
- Freeborg Power Index
You may notice the list includes ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a stable counterbalance to the rest which are based more on personal opinions, and those done by ‘team’ blogs’. There are also included sites that some will argue are really ‘prediction rankings’ - but in reality isn’t that what a Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top).
2019 NWSL Power Rankings
Team | Wk 21 avg | Wk 22 avg | Wk 23 avg | Best | Worst | St. Dev | 2019 | 2Y Avg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | Wk 21 avg | Wk 22 avg | Wk 23 avg | Best | Worst | St. Dev | 2019 | 2Y Avg |
Chicago Red Stars | 2.17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3.488 | 4.22 |
Houston Dash | 6.83 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6.466 | 6.72 |
North Carolina Courage | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.305 | 1.67 |
Orlando Pride | 8.83 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8.513 | 6.66 |
Portland Thorns | 3.17 | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | 4 | 0.55 | 2.29 | 2.71 |
Seattle Reign | 4.5 | 4 | 3.6 | 3 | 4 | 0.55 | 4.689 | 3.66 |
Sky Blue | 8.17 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8.243 | 8.41 |
Utah Royals | 4.17 | 5 | 5.4 | 5 | 6 | 0.55 | 4.071 | 4.6 |
Washington Spirit | 6.17 | 6 | 5.6 | 5 | 6 | 0.55 | 4.778 | 6.23 |
- Highest Standard Deviation: Portland Thorns at 0.89
- Lowest Standard Deviation: Orlando Pride and Sky Blue FC both at 0.0
Site Bias
All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculations (based on past performance for example). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams.
NWSL Site Bias
Team / Site | AVG | 538 | Soc. Club Stat | Backline | Reddit /r/NWSL | RSL SB | NWSL | Freeborg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team / Site | AVG | 538 | Soc. Club Stat | Backline | Reddit /r/NWSL | RSL SB | NWSL | Freeborg |
Chicago Red Stars | 3.488 | -0.188 | -0.198 | 0.292 | -0.438 | 0.292 | 1.242 | -0.368 |
Houston Dash | 6.466 | 0.104 | -0.056 | -0.136 | -0.056 | 0.404 | -1.196 | 0.244 |
North Carolina Courage | 2.305 | -1.005 | 0.105 | 0.255 | -0.165 | 0.305 | 1.145 | 0.695 |
Orlando Pride | 8.513 | 0.097 | 0.307 | -0.183 | -0.153 | 0.007 | -0.063 | 0.077 |
Portland Thorns | 2.29 | -0.16 | 0.18 | -0.51 | 0.21 | -0.16 | 0.53 | 0.53 |
Seattle Reign | 4.689 | -0.039 | 0.781 | -0.079 | 0.261 | -0.079 | 0.491 | -0.749 |
Sky Blue | 8.243 | 0.147 | -0.063 | 0.167 | 0.117 | -0.023 | -0.153 | 0.047 |
Utah Royals | 4.071 | 0.759 | -0.481 | -0.311 | 0.289 | -0.591 | -0.711 | 0.459 |
Washington Spirit | 4.778 | 0.442 | -0.428 | 0.332 | 0.042 | 0.002 | -1.228 | -0.658 |
Highest Bias VS | 0.759 | 0.781 | 0.332 | 0.289 | 0.404 | 1.242 | 0.695 | |
Highest Bias FOR | -1.005 | -0.481 | -0.51 | -0.438 | -0.591 | -1.228 | -0.749 | |
Most Bias VS | Utah Royals | Reign FC | Wash. Spirit | Utah Royals | Houston Dash | Chicago RS | N. Car. Courage | |
Most Bias For | N. Car. Courage | Utah Royals | Portland Thorns | Chicago RS | Utah Royals | Wash. Spirit | Reign FC | |
Least Bias | Reign FC | Houston Dash | Reign FC | Wash. Spirit | Orlando Pride | Orlando Pride | Sky Blue FC |
Site Accuracy
This is simply how close each site is to average each week. Getting all sites exactly on average is extremely rare (in all the years I’ve tracked this it’s never happened).
NWSL Site Accuracy
Site | Most Bias VS | Most Bias For | Least Bias |
---|---|---|---|
Site | Most Bias VS | Most Bias For | Least Bias |
FiveThirtyEight | Utah Royals | North Carolina | Reign |
Soccer Club Stats | Reign | Utah Royals | Sky Blue |
Backline Soccer | Washington Spirit | Portland Thorns | Houston Dash |
Reddit /r/NWSL | Utah Royals | Chicago Red Stars | Houston Dash |
RSL Soapbox | Houston Dash | Utah Royals | Washington Spirit |
NWSL | NA | NA | NA |
Freeborg | North Carolina | Reign | Orlando Pride |