:format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/65331981/MLS_Power_Ranking_Averages.0.png)
Another good turnout with 13 of 16 sites updating this week. The rankings do not include last night’s results! For the first time in 14 weeks, Los Angeles FC no longer has perfect consensus on the sites! One site dropped them to 2nd this week based on their recent run of play.
As always, if you know of a site I have not used please let me know in the comments and I’ll look into adding it!
Sites Used
- Jeff Sagarin
- Five Thirty Eight (Proj. points)
- Who Scored
- ESPN
- Massey
- Soccer America
- MLS
- MLS Fantasy Boss - No ranking Wk 26-29
- Reddit MLS
- Dallas News - No ranking Wk 29
- Atlanta News Now (Abbr. AJC)
- Pro Soccer USA
- Cincinnati Soccer Talk
- Freeborg Power Index
- In On It
- US Soccer Players (Monthly only) - No ranking Wk 27-28
You may notice the list includes several ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a stable counterbalance or ‘control group’ to the rest which are based more on personal opinions, and those done by ‘team’ blogs. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top).
All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.
2022 Power Ranking Average
| Place | Team | Wk 33 | Wk 34 | Wk Best | Wk Worst | Std. Dev | 2022 Avg | 5-yr avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Place | Team | Wk 33 | Wk 34 | Wk Best | Wk Worst | Std. Dev | 2022 Avg | 5-yr avg |
| 21 | Atlanta United FC | 20.67 | 20.86 | 10 | 25 | 4.46 | 17.6 | 11.0832 |
| 5 | Austin FC | 5.22 | 6.14 | 5 | 17 | 4.02 | 7.2 | 12.992 |
| 23 | Charlotte FC | 20 | 21.71 | 16 | 27 | 3.61 | 22.8 | 14.784 |
| 24 | Chicago Fire | 23.56 | 22.71 | 17 | 24 | 2.17 | 20.7 | 19.678 |
| 10 | Cincinnati (FC) | 11.11 | 9.57 | 7 | 13 | 1.87 | 17.5 | 19.634 |
| 18 | Colorado Rapids | 20.44 | 18.71 | 14 | 22 | 2.65 | 16 | 15.666 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 8.89 | 12.71 | 4 | 16 | 3.76 | 11.3 | 10.859 |
| 28 | D.C. United | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24.5 | 17.176 |
| 6 | Dallas (FC) | 5.89 | 6.29 | 4 | 16 | 3.82 | 8.5 | 11.1342 |
| 26 | Houston Dynamo | 24.56 | 25.43 | 24 | 27 | 0.88 | 22 | 17.22 |
| 15 | Inter Miami CF | 14 | 15.14 | 11 | 21 | 3.91 | 21.3 | 17.622 |
| 9 | L.A. Galaxy | 10.33 | 8.57 | 6 | 12 | 2.06 | 9.8 | 11.408 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 1.56 | 1.71 | 1 | 3 | 0.67 | 2 | 5.5268 |
| 11 | Minnesota United FC | 15.22 | 12.14 | 7 | 17 | 2.93 | 11 | 12.076 |
| 3 | Montreal (CF) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3.06 | 10.2 | 14.52 |
| 7 | Nashville SC | 8.11 | 6.86 | 4 | 10 | 1.96 | 8.7 | 11.874 |
| 17 | New England Revolution | 20 | 18.29 | 6 | 23 | 4.77 | 14.7 | 12.164 |
| 4 | New York City FC | 6.33 | 4.86 | 3 | 10 | 2.11 | 6.6 | 6.5156 |
| 8 | New York RB | 7.11 | 7.29 | 5 | 10 | 1.58 | 6.4 | 9.5228 |
| 16 | Orlando City SC | 14.11 | 15.86 | 13 | 23 | 3.87 | 13.5 | 13.312 |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 1.44 | 1.29 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 6.902 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 11.67 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 2.79 | 13.8 | 11.134 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 14.44 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 1.79 | 10.8 | 13.31 |
| 25 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 24.43 | 19 | 26 | 2.65 | 23.8 | 18.838 |
| 19 | Seattle Sounders FC | 19.44 | 19.43 | 12 | 23 | 3.91 | 13.9 | 7.384 |
| 22 | Sporting Kansas City | 20.22 | 21.14 | 16 | 26 | 3.14 | 23.5 | 10.9248 |
| 27 | Toronto FC | 25.67 | 26.43 | 20 | 27 | 2.54 | 21.7 | 14.724 |
| 20 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 18.56 | 20.14 | 16 | 25 | 3.49 | 22.6 | 19.364 |
- Highest Standard Deviation: Sporting Kansas City at 3.29
- Lowest Standard Deviation: Los Angeles FC 0.38
- Biggest Rise: New York Red Bulls - Up 5
- Biggest Fall: Portland Timbers - Down 6
Site Bias
All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams.
2020 MLS Site Bias
| Team / Site | AVG | Jeff Sagarin | 538 | Who Scored | ESPN | Massey | Soc. Amer | MLS | Sonny Moore | Freeborg | MLS Multiplex | 3rd deg. | US Soc. Players | AVG | Team / Site |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team / Site | AVG | Jeff Sagarin | 538 | Who Scored | ESPN | Massey | Soc. Amer | MLS | Sonny Moore | Freeborg | MLS Multiplex | 3rd deg. | US Soc. Players | AVG | Team / Site |
| Atlanta United FC | 15.5 | -0.5 | -0.97 | 1.57 | 2.83 | 1.9 | 0.28 | 2.19 | -1.87 | 5.67 | 1.81 | 5.64 | 1.1 | 15.5 | ATL |
| Chicago Fire | 18.66 | -0.47 | -0.59 | -3.66 | 1.09 | 1.01 | 2.9 | 1.34 | 4.59 | 0.26 | 2.84 | 3.34 | 3.94 | 18.66 | CHI |
| Colorado Rapids | 14.04 | -0.48 | 1.83 | -5.51 | 1.04 | -0.24 | 1.74 | 1.59 | 4.4 | -2.87 | 3.65 | 2.25 | 3.96 | 14.04 | COL |
| Columbus Crew SC | 4.71 | 4.42 | -0.98 | 0.89 | -0.21 | 0.09 | -2.04 | -1.08 | 4.42 | 1.71 | -1.27 | 1.86 | 0.29 | 4.71 | CLB |
| D.C. United | 20.48 | 0.58 | 3.59 | -0.68 | 0.69 | 2.32 | 0.96 | 3.02 | -0.98 | 2.52 | 0.21 | 4.38 | 1.32 | 20.48 | DCU |
| FC Cincinnati | 22.34 | 2.72 | 3.06 | 1.86 | 1.99 | 1.33 | -1.45 | 0.97 | 1.79 | 0.41 | 0.72 | -0.91 | -0.14 | 22.34 | CIN |
| FC Dallas | 9.94 | -1.25 | -0.01 | -2.94 | 2.39 | 0.13 | 0.62 | 1.75 | -2.94 | -0.27 | 4.44 | 2.77 | 5.06 | 9.94 | FCD |
| Houston Dynamo | 17.46 | 0.79 | 2.67 | 0.47 | 0.29 | -2.26 | 2.21 | 2.29 | -1.77 | -0.79 | 1.79 | 2.25 | -0.06 | 17.46 | HOU |
| Inter Miami CF | 6.51 | 4.86 | -0.02 | -0.42 | 2.36 | -0.22 | 2.55 | 1.74 | -6.89 | -2.72 | 4.24 | 2.68 | 2.11 | 6.51 | MIA |
| Los Angeles FC | 15.67 | -1.88 | -1.98 | 1.96 | 2.99 | 0.89 | -0.4 | 1.24 | -2.95 | 9.07 | 1.68 | 1.35 | -1.11 | 15.67 | LAFC |
| L.A. Galaxy | 6.86 | 1.77 | -1.67 | -4.4 | 0.83 | 2.13 | -2.34 | 2.21 | 0.46 | 4.33 | 1.08 | -3.38 | 0.93 | 6.86 | LAG |
| Minnesota United FC | 15.85 | -1.11 | 2.87 | -4.13 | 3.64 | -1.53 | 0.25 | 2.58 | -0.23 | 2.06 | 1.08 | 0.71 | 1.14 | 15.85 | MUFC |
| Montreal Impact | 12.24 | 2.65 | 2.55 | -1.25 | -0.85 | 2.82 | 0.59 | 1.28 | 5.09 | -1.02 | -0.22 | -0.56 | -0.65 | 12.24 | MTL |
| Nashville SC | 9.15 | 1.56 | 1.85 | 2.18 | -0.82 | -2.95 | 3.18 | -0.38 | 0.06 | 0.43 | 1.99 | 2.89 | 1.38 | 9.15 | NASH |
| N.E. Revolution | 13.88 | 4.45 | 1.43 | 0.36 | -2.41 | 1.76 | -0.24 | -0.11 | 3.32 | -1.41 | -0.8 | 1.76 | -1.84 | 13.88 | NER |
| New York City FC | 7.92 | -0.65 | 0.78 | 3.52 | 0.68 | -0.68 | 4.96 | -0.15 | -1.15 | -2.48 | 1.66 | -1.86 | -0.95 | 7.92 | NYFC |
| New York RB | 13.88 | 1.12 | 0.59 | -1.28 | -0.46 | 2.52 | 1.34 | 1.18 | 1.81 | 1.95 | -0.82 | 6.12 | 5.32 | 13.88 | NYRB |
| Orlando City SC | 7.92 | -0.29 | 2.35 | 5.21 | -0.92 | -2.85 | 1.64 | 0.14 | 1.64 | -2.75 | -0.11 | 0.37 | 1.08 | 7.92 | ORL |
| Philadelphia Union | 3.86 | -0.61 | -0.86 | 3.94 | 0.22 | -0.73 | 0.92 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -1.94 | 0.77 | 1.85 | 1.74 | 3.86 | PHI |
| Portland Timbers | 7.53 | -0.97 | 2.2 | 8.8 | 0.64 | -3.53 | 1.03 | -1.28 | 1.72 | 4.72 | -0.9 | -4.39 | -1.13 | 7.53 | POR |
| Real Salt Lake | 15.16 | -1.41 | 1.04 | 1.64 | 3.34 | 2.91 | 0.62 | 0.65 | -1.1 | 1.17 | 1.47 | 0.41 | 1.04 | 15.16 | RSL |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 17.05 | 0.01 | 0.28 | 8.08 | 0.62 | 2.82 | -0.27 | 1.08 | 2.95 | 2.78 | 0.2 | -1.62 | -4.25 | 17.05 | SJE |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 4.1 | -0.79 | 0.9 | -0.17 | 0.23 | 3.57 | 0.23 | -0.6 | -0.97 | 1.98 | 0.34 | -1.24 | -0.1 | 4.1 | SEA |
| Sporting Kansas City | 7.64 | 3.74 | -0.51 | -0.17 | 1.86 | 1.83 | 1.25 | 0.17 | 4.74 | -0.22 | -1.51 | -0.21 | -0.64 | 7.64 | SKC |
| Toronto FC | 4.42 | 1.46 | -1.55 | 3.05 | -0.75 | 4.45 | -0.75 | -1.48 | 2.58 | -0.17 | -1.79 | -2.42 | 4.18 | 4.42 | TFC |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 21.04 | 1.59 | 2.43 | 2.36 | 0.04 | 3.89 | 1.4 | 1.27 | 3.4 | -1.12 | -1.23 | -2.75 | -2.64 | 21.04 | VAN |
| X Team / Site | AVG | Sagarin | 538 | Who Scored | ESPN | Massey | Soc. Amer | MLS | Sonny Moore | Freeborg | MLS Multiplex | 3rd deg. | US Soc. Players | AVG | Team / Site |