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MLS Power Ranking Averages - Wk 8

Oh how the mighty have fallen. Two of MLS’ favorite teams are on the rocks.

A very good week for sites publishing - 13 in total! Some have yet to resume, and may not at all. It’s somewhat surprising that Los Angeles FC remains so high in the power rankings in spite of their dismal record. Any other team (Atlanta) going through a similar rough patch would fall hard, but MLS favorite Angels must be filled with helium.

Note that these rankings DO NOT include the midweek games played on 9/9 - 9/10.

As always, if you know of a site I have not used please let me know in the comments and I’ll look into adding it for next season!

Sites Used

You may notice the list includes several ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a stable counterbalance or ‘control group’ to the rest which are based more on personal opinions, and those done by ‘team’ rankers. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top).

All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

2022 Power Ranking Average

Place Team Wk 29 Wk 30 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2022 Avg
Place Team Wk 29 Wk 30 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2022 Avg
21 Atlanta United FC 21.08 19.63 9 21 3.5 17.4
4 Austin FC 4.33 6 3 19 4.62 7.5
26 Charlotte FC 25.17 23.5 20 27 2.37 22.9
22 Chicago Fire 22.25 21 15 25 2.9 20.4
14 Cincinnati (FC) 13 12.13 7 15 2.77 18.5
20 Colorado Rapids 20.92 19.63 16 22 2.07 15.5
9 Columbus Crew SC 10.08 9.63 4 14 3.14 11.3
28 D.C. United 27.92 28 27 28 0.32 24
6 Dallas (FC) 6.67 5.13 3 14 3.33 8.8
27 Houston Dynamo 25.75 25.63 24 27 1.35 21.7
18 Inter Miami CF 18 19.13 14 23 2.71 22
15 L.A. Galaxy 13.33 13.25 9 16 2.23 9.6
2 Los Angeles FC 1.92 2 1 3 0.47 2
10 Minnesota United FC 10.17 10.75 6 15 2.83 10.7
3 Montreal (CF) 3.33 3.63 2 15 3.75 11.2
7 Nashville SC 6.75 7.13 3 11 2.28 8.9
16 New England Revolution 15.67 16 4 19 4.23 14
8 New York City FC 9.42 10.25 3 24 6.52 6.5
5 New York RB 6.25 5.88 4 9 1.41 6.3
13 Orlando City SC 12.42 13.25 6 22 4.55 13.3
1 Philadelphia Union 1.17 1 1 2 0.32 2.6
12 Portland Timbers 11.83 9.63 7 16 2.67 14.2
11 Real Salt Lake 11.08 11.88 9 17 2.42 10.4
23 San Jose Earthquakes 22.33 24.5 20 28 2.72 23.6
17 Seattle Sounders FC 17.5 15.63 12 19 2.37 13.5
25 Sporting Kansas City 23.5 24.13 19 27 2.6 23.9
19 Toronto FC 20.5 21.63 13 26 4.34 21.2
24 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 22.67 24.25 21 27 2.15 22.9

Site Bias

All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams.

2020 MLS Site Bias

Team / Site AVG Jeff Sagarin 538 Who Scored ESPN Massey Soc. Amer MLS Sonny Moore Freeborg MLS Multiplex 3rd deg. US Soc. Players AVG Team / Site
Team / Site AVG Jeff Sagarin 538 Who Scored ESPN Massey Soc. Amer MLS Sonny Moore Freeborg MLS Multiplex 3rd deg. US Soc. Players AVG Team / Site
Atlanta United FC 15.5 -0.5 -0.97 1.57 2.83 1.9 0.28 2.19 -1.87 5.67 1.81 5.64 1.1 15.5 ATL
Chicago Fire 18.66 -0.47 -0.59 -3.66 1.09 1.01 2.9 1.34 4.59 0.26 2.84 3.34 3.94 18.66 CHI
Colorado Rapids 14.04 -0.48 1.83 -5.51 1.04 -0.24 1.74 1.59 4.4 -2.87 3.65 2.25 3.96 14.04 COL
Columbus Crew SC 4.71 4.42 -0.98 0.89 -0.21 0.09 -2.04 -1.08 4.42 1.71 -1.27 1.86 0.29 4.71 CLB
D.C. United 20.48 0.58 3.59 -0.68 0.69 2.32 0.96 3.02 -0.98 2.52 0.21 4.38 1.32 20.48 DCU
FC Cincinnati 22.34 2.72 3.06 1.86 1.99 1.33 -1.45 0.97 1.79 0.41 0.72 -0.91 -0.14 22.34 CIN
FC Dallas 9.94 -1.25 -0.01 -2.94 2.39 0.13 0.62 1.75 -2.94 -0.27 4.44 2.77 5.06 9.94 FCD
Houston Dynamo 17.46 0.79 2.67 0.47 0.29 -2.26 2.21 2.29 -1.77 -0.79 1.79 2.25 -0.06 17.46 HOU
Inter Miami CF 6.51 4.86 -0.02 -0.42 2.36 -0.22 2.55 1.74 -6.89 -2.72 4.24 2.68 2.11 6.51 MIA
Los Angeles FC 15.67 -1.88 -1.98 1.96 2.99 0.89 -0.4 1.24 -2.95 9.07 1.68 1.35 -1.11 15.67 LAFC
L.A. Galaxy 6.86 1.77 -1.67 -4.4 0.83 2.13 -2.34 2.21 0.46 4.33 1.08 -3.38 0.93 6.86 LAG
Minnesota United FC 15.85 -1.11 2.87 -4.13 3.64 -1.53 0.25 2.58 -0.23 2.06 1.08 0.71 1.14 15.85 MUFC
Montreal Impact 12.24 2.65 2.55 -1.25 -0.85 2.82 0.59 1.28 5.09 -1.02 -0.22 -0.56 -0.65 12.24 MTL
Nashville SC 9.15 1.56 1.85 2.18 -0.82 -2.95 3.18 -0.38 0.06 0.43 1.99 2.89 1.38 9.15 NASH
N.E. Revolution 13.88 4.45 1.43 0.36 -2.41 1.76 -0.24 -0.11 3.32 -1.41 -0.8 1.76 -1.84 13.88 NER
New York City FC 7.92 -0.65 0.78 3.52 0.68 -0.68 4.96 -0.15 -1.15 -2.48 1.66 -1.86 -0.95 7.92 NYFC
New York RB 13.88 1.12 0.59 -1.28 -0.46 2.52 1.34 1.18 1.81 1.95 -0.82 6.12 5.32 13.88 NYRB
Orlando City SC 7.92 -0.29 2.35 5.21 -0.92 -2.85 1.64 0.14 1.64 -2.75 -0.11 0.37 1.08 7.92 ORL
Philadelphia Union 3.86 -0.61 -0.86 3.94 0.22 -0.73 0.92 -0.3 -0.8 -1.94 0.77 1.85 1.74 3.86 PHI
Portland Timbers 7.53 -0.97 2.2 8.8 0.64 -3.53 1.03 -1.28 1.72 4.72 -0.9 -4.39 -1.13 7.53 POR
Real Salt Lake 15.16 -1.41 1.04 1.64 3.34 2.91 0.62 0.65 -1.1 1.17 1.47 0.41 1.04 15.16 RSL
San Jose Earthquakes 17.05 0.01 0.28 8.08 0.62 2.82 -0.27 1.08 2.95 2.78 0.2 -1.62 -4.25 17.05 SJE
Seattle Sounders FC 4.1 -0.79 0.9 -0.17 0.23 3.57 0.23 -0.6 -0.97 1.98 0.34 -1.24 -0.1 4.1 SEA
Sporting Kansas City 7.64 3.74 -0.51 -0.17 1.86 1.83 1.25 0.17 4.74 -0.22 -1.51 -0.21 -0.64 7.64 SKC
Toronto FC 4.42 1.46 -1.55 3.05 -0.75 4.45 -0.75 -1.48 2.58 -0.17 -1.79 -2.42 4.18 4.42 TFC
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 21.04 1.59 2.43 2.36 0.04 3.89 1.4 1.27 3.4 -1.12 -1.23 -2.75 -2.64 21.04 VAN
X Team / Site AVG Sagarin 538 Who Scored ESPN Massey Soc. Amer MLS Sonny Moore Freeborg MLS Multiplex 3rd deg. US Soc. Players AVG Team / Site