clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

MLS Power Ranking Averages - Wk 7

Here’s a break from all the sad RSL news!

One more site added, it’s something of a rebrand of a former ranking on a separate site. The rankings formerly done on Dallas News are now under a separate site 3rd Degree. That brings the total sites used this week to 11 (Spinal Tap reference)! These rankings DO NOT include games from Wed. night.

As always, if you know of a site I have not used please let me know in the comments and I’ll look into adding it for next season!

Sites Used

You may notice the list includes several ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a stable counterbalance or ‘control group’ to the rest which are based more on personal opinions, and those done by ‘team’ rankers. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top).

All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

2021 MLS Power Ranking Averages

Avg 28&29 29.5 30 Team Best Worst St. Dev 2021 Avg S/High S/Low
Avg 28&29 29.5 30 Team Best Worst St. Dev 2021 Avg S/High S/Low
11.64 10.2 9.4 Atlanta United 5 15 2.68 13.4 8.5 21.58
24.45 24.8 24.7 Austin FC 18 26 2.26 20 10.25 25.91
23.27 24.2 22.5 Chicago Fire 16 25 3.01 23.5 17.29 26.33
6 4.8 6.4 Colorado Rapids 4 10 1.93 7.8 3.33 18
18.82 18.4 17.7 Columbus Crew 9 21 3.82 13.2 4.13 20.8
10 10.8 11.2 D.C. United 2 16 3.88 16 9.55 25.57
26.73 27 26.9 FC Cincinnati 25 27 0.62 24.9 20.43 27
21.64 21.6 21.6 FC Dallas 19 26 2.05 19.5 13.38 23
23.27 23 21.8 Houston Dynamo 17 24 1.83 20.2 14.29 25.22
22.91 22.8 24.1 Inter Miami 21 27 2.23 22.5 17.25 26.82
17 17.6 15.7 Los Angeles FC 3 19 4.89 11.6 2.71 17.6
16.55 16.6 14.8 Los Angeles Galaxy 8 19 3.68 10.3 4.7 16.6
11.45 14.6 12.5 Minnesota United 7 15 2.45 14.4 8.64 23.7
11.73 11.8 14.7 Montreal (C.F.) 11 18 2.39 15.1 10.73 20
4.45 4.8 4.4 Nashville SC 3 6 1.16 8.8 3.73 18
1.09 1.2 1.1 NE. Revolution 1 5 1.16 3.3 1.09 9.14
9.09 8.8 11.8 New York City FC 1 19 5.58 5.9 2.58 11.86
13.27 11.6 9.5 New York RB 7 16 3.07 15.1 9.5 21.5
12 12.6 11.9 Orlando City 8 19 3.3 8.6 3.17 15.91
6.64 5.8 5.9 Philadelphia Union 4 12 2.56 7.8 3.14 12.75
7.45 7.2 8.5 Portland Timbers 4 25 6.22 13.5 7.2 19.36
14.91 12.8 12.6 Real Salt Lake 7 20 3.6 14.3 10.38 23.71
19.55 19.4 20.6 San Jose Earthquakes 20 24 1.59 18.4 7.1 23.42
2.09 2 2.1 Seattle Sounders 1 8 1.78 2 1 4
3.09 3 3.5 Sporting Kansas City 1 6 1.31 4.2 1.82 11.75
23.73 24.8 24.5 Toronto FC 22 26 1.51 22.7 13.43 27
15.64 16.6 15.7 Vancouver Whitecaps 8 22 3.65 20.3 15.44 25.73

Site Bias

All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams.

2020 MLS Site Bias

Team / Site AVG Jeff Sagarin 538 Who Scored ESPN Massey Soc. Amer MLS Sonny Moore Freeborg MLS Multiplex 3rd deg. US Soc. Players AVG Team / Site
Team / Site AVG Jeff Sagarin 538 Who Scored ESPN Massey Soc. Amer MLS Sonny Moore Freeborg MLS Multiplex 3rd deg. US Soc. Players AVG Team / Site
Atlanta United FC 15.5 -0.5 -0.97 1.57 2.83 1.9 0.28 2.19 -1.87 5.67 1.81 5.64 1.1 15.5 ATL
Chicago Fire 18.66 -0.47 -0.59 -3.66 1.09 1.01 2.9 1.34 4.59 0.26 2.84 3.34 3.94 18.66 CHI
Colorado Rapids 14.04 -0.48 1.83 -5.51 1.04 -0.24 1.74 1.59 4.4 -2.87 3.65 2.25 3.96 14.04 COL
Columbus Crew SC 4.71 4.42 -0.98 0.89 -0.21 0.09 -2.04 -1.08 4.42 1.71 -1.27 1.86 0.29 4.71 CLB
D.C. United 20.48 0.58 3.59 -0.68 0.69 2.32 0.96 3.02 -0.98 2.52 0.21 4.38 1.32 20.48 DCU
FC Cincinnati 22.34 2.72 3.06 1.86 1.99 1.33 -1.45 0.97 1.79 0.41 0.72 -0.91 -0.14 22.34 CIN
FC Dallas 9.94 -1.25 -0.01 -2.94 2.39 0.13 0.62 1.75 -2.94 -0.27 4.44 2.77 5.06 9.94 FCD
Houston Dynamo 17.46 0.79 2.67 0.47 0.29 -2.26 2.21 2.29 -1.77 -0.79 1.79 2.25 -0.06 17.46 HOU
Inter Miami CF 6.51 4.86 -0.02 -0.42 2.36 -0.22 2.55 1.74 -6.89 -2.72 4.24 2.68 2.11 6.51 MIA
Los Angeles FC 15.67 -1.88 -1.98 1.96 2.99 0.89 -0.4 1.24 -2.95 9.07 1.68 1.35 -1.11 15.67 LAFC
L.A. Galaxy 6.86 1.77 -1.67 -4.4 0.83 2.13 -2.34 2.21 0.46 4.33 1.08 -3.38 0.93 6.86 LAG
Minnesota United FC 15.85 -1.11 2.87 -4.13 3.64 -1.53 0.25 2.58 -0.23 2.06 1.08 0.71 1.14 15.85 MUFC
Montreal Impact 12.24 2.65 2.55 -1.25 -0.85 2.82 0.59 1.28 5.09 -1.02 -0.22 -0.56 -0.65 12.24 MTL
Nashville SC 9.15 1.56 1.85 2.18 -0.82 -2.95 3.18 -0.38 0.06 0.43 1.99 2.89 1.38 9.15 NASH
N.E. Revolution 13.88 4.45 1.43 0.36 -2.41 1.76 -0.24 -0.11 3.32 -1.41 -0.8 1.76 -1.84 13.88 NER
New York City FC 7.92 -0.65 0.78 3.52 0.68 -0.68 4.96 -0.15 -1.15 -2.48 1.66 -1.86 -0.95 7.92 NYFC
New York RB 13.88 1.12 0.59 -1.28 -0.46 2.52 1.34 1.18 1.81 1.95 -0.82 6.12 5.32 13.88 NYRB
Orlando City SC 7.92 -0.29 2.35 5.21 -0.92 -2.85 1.64 0.14 1.64 -2.75 -0.11 0.37 1.08 7.92 ORL
Philadelphia Union 3.86 -0.61 -0.86 3.94 0.22 -0.73 0.92 -0.3 -0.8 -1.94 0.77 1.85 1.74 3.86 PHI
Portland Timbers 7.53 -0.97 2.2 8.8 0.64 -3.53 1.03 -1.28 1.72 4.72 -0.9 -4.39 -1.13 7.53 POR
Real Salt Lake 15.16 -1.41 1.04 1.64 3.34 2.91 0.62 0.65 -1.1 1.17 1.47 0.41 1.04 15.16 RSL
San Jose Earthquakes 17.05 0.01 0.28 8.08 0.62 2.82 -0.27 1.08 2.95 2.78 0.2 -1.62 -4.25 17.05 SJE
Seattle Sounders FC 4.1 -0.79 0.9 -0.17 0.23 3.57 0.23 -0.6 -0.97 1.98 0.34 -1.24 -0.1 4.1 SEA
Sporting Kansas City 7.64 3.74 -0.51 -0.17 1.86 1.83 1.25 0.17 4.74 -0.22 -1.51 -0.21 -0.64 7.64 SKC
Toronto FC 4.42 1.46 -1.55 3.05 -0.75 4.45 -0.75 -1.48 2.58 -0.17 -1.79 -2.42 4.18 4.42 TFC
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 21.04 1.59 2.43 2.36 0.04 3.89 1.4 1.27 3.4 -1.12 -1.23 -2.75 -2.64 21.04 VAN
X Team / Site AVG Sagarin 538 Who Scored ESPN Massey Soc. Amer MLS Sonny Moore Freeborg MLS Multiplex 3rd deg. US Soc. Players AVG Team / Site