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Power Ranking Averages - Preseason

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11 sites have made their rankings, here is the preseason average.

Power Rankings

There were 11 sites publishing preseason rankings, but it’s difficult to tell how many total sites will continue beyond this.

Columbus Crew top the rankings with a 2.11 average.

As always, if you know of a site I have not used please let me know in the comments and I’ll look into adding it to the list!

Sites Used

You may notice the list includes several ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a stable counterbalance or ‘control group’ to the rest which are based more on personal opinions, and those done by ‘group rankers’. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team’s likely final position.

All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

The full spreadsheeet is here.

2022 Power Ranking Average

Place Team Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2021 Avg
Place Team Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2021 Avg
15 Atlanta United FC 19.25 15.64 10 25 3.9 14.6
7 Austin FC 4.83 7.27 4 13 2.3 12.5
20 Charlotte FC 23.58 21 16 27 3.38 24
21 Chicago Fire 18.58 21.91 13 27 4.01 15.3
17 Cincinnati (FC) 22.92 17.09 11 25 4.9 24.9
16 Colorado Rapids 13.42 15.82 9 19 2.6 11.6
12 Columbus Crew SC 13.58 13.18 6 17 3.2 10.4
21 D.C. United 24.67 21.91 19 25 2.06 19.2
5 Dallas (FC) 7.33 6 2 11 2.69 11.5
23 Houston Dynamo 18.33 22.09 15 27 3.84 20.3
27 Inter Miami CF 23.83 26 20 28 2.39 25.3
3 L.A. Galaxy 6.25 3.82 2 11 2.28 8
1 Los Angeles FC 1.08 1.18 1 2 0.44 2.8
11 Minnesota United FC 9.75 11.73 4 18 3.59 9.6
9 Montreal (CF) 11 7.73 3 17 3.93 18.5
6 Nashville SC 9.08 7 4 11 2.69 7.3
17 New England Revolution 17.42 17.09 6 24 5.61 13.1
8 New York City FC 6.25 7.45 2 12 3.48 10.3
4 New York RB 3.58 5.64 3 7 1.2 6.5
10 Orlando City SC 10.33 11.18 8 20 3.69 11.7
2 Philadelphia Union 2.83 2.27 1 5 1.19 3.4
14 Portland Timbers 17 15.27 12 28 4.34 12.8
12 Real Salt Lake 11.58 13.18 9 18 3.03 11.7
25 San Jose Earthquakes 25.17 23.27 21 27 1.89 24.4
19 Seattle Sounders FC 15.08 17.36 3 28 7.11 12.1
26 Sporting Kansas City 24 24.73 19 28 2.99 20
24 Toronto FC 17.83 22.18 16 28 3.89 18.7
28 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 27.5 26.73 22 28 1.56 24.4
  • Highest Standard Deviation: Austin FC at 6.12.
  • Lowest Standard Deviation: Philadelphia Union 1.97
  • Biggest Rise: NA
  • Biggest Fall: NA

Site Bias

All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams. Negative totals (-) are bias FOR, positive numbers (+) are bias AGAINST.

Bias table will start with Week 1