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Power Ranking Averages - Wk 5

Sounders retain first for week 5, Crew crash hard after CCL exit.

Power Rankings

10 of 11 sites publishing rankings with one new site added. The missing site often publish after I do, so the totals for this week will be updated when they publish.

The Freeborg Power Index rankings should start next week to bring the total to 12. Two sites continue to be only once or twice a month.

As always, if you know of a site I have not used please let me know in the comments and I’ll look into adding it to the list!

Sites Used

You may notice the list includes several ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a stable counterbalance or ‘control group’ to the rest which are based more on personal opinions, and those done by ‘group rankers’. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team’s likely final position.

All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

The full spreadsheeet is here.

2021 MLS Power Ranking Averages

Avg 20/21 Avg 22 Avg 23 Team Best Worst St. Dev 2021 Avg S/High S/Low
Avg 20/21 Avg 22 Avg 23 Team Best Worst St. Dev 2021 Avg S/High S/Low
12.45 14.73 14.63 Atlanta United 6 21 4.5 14.1 8.5 21.58
22.18 23.64 23.88 Austin FC 19 26 1.96 18.5 10.25 23.88
23.18 21.36 21.63 Chicago Fire 14 25 3.71 23.6 17.29 26.33
4.55 4.55 3.13 Colorado Rapids 1 9 2.46 8.6 3.13 18
20 18.55 20.75 Columbus Crew 13 22 2.6 11.5 4.13 20.75
13.45 11.73 12.38 D.C. United 3 18 4.62 17.3 9.55 25.57
24.36 24.73 24.88 FC Cincinnati 22 26 1.49 24.5 20.43 26.9
18.82 17.36 18.75 FC Dallas 14 22 2.99 19.1 13.38 23
24.18 25.18 25 Houston Dynamo 23 27 1.05 19.4 14.29 25.18
20.73 21.45 19 Inter Miami 15 26 3.43 22.8 17.25 26.82
16.45 17.09 13.25 Los Angeles FC 2 20 6.03 10.4 2.71 17.09
10.09 9.82 10 Los Angeles Galaxy 7 16 2.75 9.2 4.7 14.29
9.82 8.91 8.75 Minnesota United 4 13 2.36 15.3 8.64 23.7
14.55 12.45 13.88 Montreal (C.F.) 9 19 3.21 15.8 11.9 20
7 5.64 4.5 Nashville SC 2 8 1.65 10.2 4.5 18
1.55 1.45 1.25 NE. Revolution 1 5 1.26 3.9 1.25 9.14
4.82 3.36 4.88 New York City FC 1 8 2.39 5.3 2.58 11.86
16.18 19.55 19 New York RB 12 23 4.35 15.2 9.58 21.5
7.55 8.64 8.63 Orlando City 6 13 2.35 7.3 3.17 11
7.82 9.18 11.25 Philadelphia Union 7 18 3.95 7.9 3.14 12.75
19.36 16.73 16.38 Portland Timbers 12 22 2.92 14.8 8.93 19.36
12.73 16.55 13.88 Real Salt Lake 10 25 4.35 14.5 10.38 23.71
15.27 15.36 17.38 San Jose Earthquakes 12 26 4.32 18.2 7.1 23.42
2.36 3.36 3.38 Seattle Sounders 2 7 1.65 1.9 1 4
2.64 3.45 4.75 Sporting Kansas City 2 6 1.17 4.5 1.82 11.75
26.73 27 27 Toronto FC 26 27 0.32 22 13.43 27
18.82 17.09 15.25 Vancouver Whitecaps 8 20 4.22 21.3 15.25 25.73

Site Bias

All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams. Negative totals (-) are bias FOR, positive numbers (+) are bias AGAINST.

2021 Power Ranking Bias

SITE BIAS AVG SAG 538 W-S MASS SON ESPN FBOSS MLS 3-DEG SCS USSP FRBRG BWAY CL+CO CO+CR SBI TEAM AVG
SITE BIAS AVG SAG 538 W-S MASS SON ESPN FBOSS MLS 3-DEG SCS USSP FRBRG BWAY CL+CO CO+CR SBI TEAM AVG
Atlanta United FC 14.1 -1.1 0.85 -0.65 -2.99 -0.84 3.23 0.19 2.01 1.28 0.23 1.1 -0.31 0.37 3.75 1.73 -1.1 ATL 14.1
Austin FC 18.5 -2.6 4.1 -0.5 -2.31 3.97 1.5 -2.85 2.03 -1.35 -0.97 3.5 -1.43 2.7 -3.58 -1.17 4.5 AUS 18.5
Chicago Fire 23.6 0.45 -1.15 -6.55 0.77 2.45 0.01 0.4 0.29 1.48 2.67 1 1.83 0.33 -10.22 1.57 -5.6 CHI 23.6
Colorado Rapids 8.6 0.5 -0.6 -2.05 0.03 -0.23 -0.43 2.75 1.14 -1.29 -1 0.2 -2.03 -0.27 4.32 -2.27 0.4 COL 8.6
Columbus SC 11.5 -1 2.9 3.6 -2.18 -0.97 -1.44 -5.97 -0.39 -3.04 0.1 -3.1 0.93 5.03 8.5 3.5 7.5 CLB 11.5
D.C. United 17.3 1.2 1.65 -0.4 -2.77 2.96 -0.41 2.88 -0.67 3.16 -0.1 -0.3 -2.73 -3.5 -13.84 2.2 -6.3 DCU 17.3
FC Cincinnati 24.5 -0.15 1.6 -1.25 -1.34 0.55 0.39 -0.91 0.55 -0.73 -0.63 0.3 -2.43 1.63 -0.81 0.5 1.5 CIN 24.5
FC Dallas 19.1 -1.15 -1.1 -3.95 1.85 -0.99 0.73 1.66 0.32 0.05 1.7 2.1 0.54 -0.57 -0.1 2.9 0.9 FCD 19.1
Houston Dynamo 19.4 0.55 -0.95 2.85 -1.72 -1.35 -1.57 2.84 1.34 -1.86 -2.33 -0.4 1.24 0.4 5.37 -2.57 7.6 HOU 19.4
Inter Miami CF 22.8 -0.8 -3.7 1.4 0.36 1.62 -2.24 3.49 -0.54 2.35 -0.33 0.8 -0.01 2.07 -2.88 -2.3 2.2 MIA 22.8
Los Angeles FC 10.4 -2.25 -4.6 -2.35 1.6 -2.77 2.1 6.54 0.13 1.22 4.13 3.2 3.53 2 -6.09 3.43 6.6 LFC 10.4
L.A. Galaxy 9.2 -0.2 1.1 3.9 1.8 3.43 -2.26 -1.91 -0.94 -1.2 -2.8 -1.2 -0.06 -3.27 13.03 -5.7 -4.2 LAG 9.2
Minnesota United FC 15.3 1.1 -1.45 2.35 3.44 -4.3 -0.24 -4.12 -0.98 -1.15 3.9 -0.1 -0.3 -0.5 -7.76 2.53 -5.3 MIN 15.3
Montreal (CF) 15.8 0.95 3.1 -2.3 -2.01 2.36 -2.36 2.91 -0.06 5.28 -3.67 0.8 -3.59 0.67 0.28 -3.63 -0.8 MTL 15.8
Nashville SC 10.2 1.95 2.15 -3.6 3.06 1.43 -1.09 -1.26 -0.57 0.42 0.53 -2.2 0.66 -6 -3.74 0.3 -4.2 NAS 10.2
New Eng. Revolution 3.9 2.25 -1.5 0.35 -0.16 2.47 -0.79 0.51 -1.74 1.56 -0.9 -1.7 -1.54 0.63 3.18 -0.73 -2.9 NER 3.9
New York City FC 5.3 -0.15 -2 0.9 -0.77 -1.19 3.48 -1.42 0.81 2.7 0.3 -0.9 1.41 -2.03 -3.99 3.2 -1.3 NYC 5.3
New York RB 15.2 -0.35 0 -5.15 -0.2 0.8 2.63 -0.44 2.27 1.42 0.07 -0.2 -1.41 -1.93 -4.03 2.63 5.8 NYR 15.2
Orlando City SC 7.3 -0.05 -0.4 2.6 -1.62 -0.72 0.64 1.82 -1.46 1.7 -2.63 -2.3 -1.16 1.3 4.24 -0.63 -0.3 ORL 7.3
Philadelphia Union 7.9 1.7 -2 -3.1 1.05 1.47 1.54 -5.55 -1.58 1.79 2.17 -1.9 2.46 3.57 2.02 3.27 0.1 PHI 7.9
Portland Timbers 14.8 1.3 -2.95 3.9 3.09 -0.27 2.48 -6.62 -3.17 -7.11 1.73 1 3.27 1.47 4.12 1.7 -2.8 POR 14.8
Real Salt Lake 14.5 -0.85 1.8 -1.65 -0.24 -3.03 -0.72 3.38 1.66 -0.27 -4.1 1.9 0.79 -4.17 6.27 -4.17 -0.5 RSL 14.5
San Jose Earthquakes 18.2 0.6 0.85 2.55 0.27 -2.2 -1.64 2.21 0.17 -0.35 -0.93 -2.8 1.23 -0.4 -0.05 -5.53 -2.2 SJE 18.2
Seattle Sounders FC 1.9 0.35 -0.05 -0.2 -0.06 -0.64 0.27 0.22 -0.11 0.18 -0.57 -0.5 1.17 0.03 3.18 -0.23 1.1 SEA 1.9
Sporting Kansas City 4.5 -0.85 -0.15 0.9 0.03 0.08 -0.72 3.85 0.92 -1.12 0.23 0.7 -1.64 -1.83 -1.19 -1 -2.5 SKC 4.5
Toronto FC 22 -1.45 -0.45 4.5 -0.32 -1.21 1.61 -6.41 -0.74 -3 2.4 2.6 1.14 1.6 -0.69 3.83 0 TFC 22
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 21.3 0.85 3.95 -1.05 0.02 -1.98 -3.8 2.7 0.28 -1.3 -0.77 -0.7 -0.59 1.43 1.78 -2.3 2.7 VAN 21.3
MOST BIAS VS 2.25 4.1 4.5 3.44 3.97 3.48 6.54 2.27 5.28 4.13 3.5 3.53 5.03 13.03 3.83 7.6 BIAS VS
MOST BIAS FOR -2.6 -4.6 -6.55 -2.99 -4.3 -3.8 -6.62 -3.17 -7.11 -4.1 -3.1 -3.59 -6 -13.84 -5.7 -6.3 BIAS FOR