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Now up to 9 sites publishing rankings, and one site updated late from last week so totals have been changed. Both Massey and Sonny Moore’s rankings were not updated to show Sunday’s games, and the Massey rankings for Austin FC are all N/A because that site has not added them to the list yet.
As always, if you know of a site I have not used please let me know in the comments and I’ll look into adding it to the list!
Sites Used
- Jeff Sagarin
- Five Thirty Eight (Proj. points)
- Who Scored
- ESPN
- Massey
- MLS
- Sonny Moore Rankings
- MLS Fantasy Boss
- 3rd Degree (posts on Fridays)
- Sports Club Stats (Seas. finish avg)
-
Sports Rundown(posted preseason only) -
Reutir(posted preseason only) -
Freeborg Power Index(will start after wk 5-6) -
MLS Multiplex(posted preseason only) -
US Soccer Players(monthly) -
Soccer By Ives
You may notice the list includes several ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a stable counterbalance or ‘control group’ to the rest which are based more on personal opinions, and those done by ‘group rankers’. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team’s likely final position.
All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.
The full spreadsheeet is here.
2022 Power Ranking Average
Place | Team | Wk 33 | Wk 34 | Wk Best | Wk Worst | Std. Dev | 2022 Avg | 5-yr avg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Place | Team | Wk 33 | Wk 34 | Wk Best | Wk Worst | Std. Dev | 2022 Avg | 5-yr avg |
21 | Atlanta United FC | 20.67 | 20.86 | 10 | 25 | 4.46 | 17.6 | 11.0832 |
5 | Austin FC | 5.22 | 6.14 | 5 | 17 | 4.02 | 7.2 | 12.992 |
23 | Charlotte FC | 20 | 21.71 | 16 | 27 | 3.61 | 22.8 | 14.784 |
24 | Chicago Fire | 23.56 | 22.71 | 17 | 24 | 2.17 | 20.7 | 19.678 |
10 | Cincinnati (FC) | 11.11 | 9.57 | 7 | 13 | 1.87 | 17.5 | 19.634 |
18 | Colorado Rapids | 20.44 | 18.71 | 14 | 22 | 2.65 | 16 | 15.666 |
12 | Columbus Crew SC | 8.89 | 12.71 | 4 | 16 | 3.76 | 11.3 | 10.859 |
28 | D.C. United | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24.5 | 17.176 |
6 | Dallas (FC) | 5.89 | 6.29 | 4 | 16 | 3.82 | 8.5 | 11.1342 |
26 | Houston Dynamo | 24.56 | 25.43 | 24 | 27 | 0.88 | 22 | 17.22 |
15 | Inter Miami CF | 14 | 15.14 | 11 | 21 | 3.91 | 21.3 | 17.622 |
9 | L.A. Galaxy | 10.33 | 8.57 | 6 | 12 | 2.06 | 9.8 | 11.408 |
2 | Los Angeles FC | 1.56 | 1.71 | 1 | 3 | 0.67 | 2 | 5.5268 |
11 | Minnesota United FC | 15.22 | 12.14 | 7 | 17 | 2.93 | 11 | 12.076 |
3 | Montreal (CF) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3.06 | 10.2 | 14.52 |
7 | Nashville SC | 8.11 | 6.86 | 4 | 10 | 1.96 | 8.7 | 11.874 |
17 | New England Revolution | 20 | 18.29 | 6 | 23 | 4.77 | 14.7 | 12.164 |
4 | New York City FC | 6.33 | 4.86 | 3 | 10 | 2.11 | 6.6 | 6.5156 |
8 | New York RB | 7.11 | 7.29 | 5 | 10 | 1.58 | 6.4 | 9.5228 |
16 | Orlando City SC | 14.11 | 15.86 | 13 | 23 | 3.87 | 13.5 | 13.312 |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 1.44 | 1.29 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 6.902 |
14 | Portland Timbers | 11.67 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 2.79 | 13.8 | 11.134 |
13 | Real Salt Lake | 14.44 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 1.79 | 10.8 | 13.31 |
25 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 24.43 | 19 | 26 | 2.65 | 23.8 | 18.838 |
19 | Seattle Sounders FC | 19.44 | 19.43 | 12 | 23 | 3.91 | 13.9 | 7.384 |
22 | Sporting Kansas City | 20.22 | 21.14 | 16 | 26 | 3.14 | 23.5 | 10.9248 |
27 | Toronto FC | 25.67 | 26.43 | 20 | 27 | 2.54 | 21.7 | 14.724 |
20 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 18.56 | 20.14 | 16 | 25 | 3.49 | 22.6 | 19.364 |
- Highest Standard Deviation: Philadelphia Union 8.39
- Lowest Standard Deviation: Seattle Sounders 0.33
- Biggest Rise: Austin FC up 14
- Biggest Fall: Toronto FC down 8
Site Bias
All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams. Negative totals (-) are bias FOR, positive numbers (+) are bias AGAINST.
2021 Power Ranking Bias
SITE BIAS | AVG | Most bias for | Site | Least Bias for | Site | Most bias agaist | Site | Least bias against | Site |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SITE BIAS | AVG | Most bias for | Site | Least Bias for | Site | Most bias agaist | Site | Least bias against | Site |
Atlanta United FC | 12.9 | -2.69 | Massey | -0.14 | Sonny Moore | 4.29 | Club & Country | 0.19 | Sports Club Stats |
Austin FC | 20.6 | -4.67 | Club & Country | -0.35 | Freeborg | 3.15 | Sonny Moore | 0.74 | ESPN |
Chicago Fire | 23.3 | -9.74 | Club & Country | -0.65 | 538 | 2.2 | Sonny Moore | 0.13 | MLS Fantasy Boss |
Colorado Rapids | 7.4 | -1.69 | Freeborg | -0.2 | ESPN | 4.5 | Club & Country | 0.01 | Jeff Sagarin |
Columbus SC | 13.7 | -6.56 | MLS Fantasy Boss | -0.2 | MLS | 6.95 | Club & Country | 0.06 | Freeborg |
D.C. United | 16.1 | -12.76 | Club & Country | -0.47 | MLS | 3.8 | 3rd Degree | 0.23 | US Soccer Players |
FC Cincinnati | 25.2 | -1.55 | Who Scored | -0.01 | Jeff Sagarin | 1.14 | Broadway | 0.2 | ESPN / Sonny Moore |
FC Dallas | 19.9 | -3.93 | Who Scored | -0.33 | 538 | 2.67 | US Soc. Players | 0.43 | MLS |
Houston Dynamo | 20.8 | -3.04 | 3rd Degree | -0.3 | Broadway | 2.97 | Club & Country | 0.05 | Jeff Sagarin |
Inter Miami CF | 22.5 | -3.02 | 538 | -0.02 | Jeff Sagarin | 2.95 | MLS Fantasy Boss | 0.1 | Massey |
Los Angeles FC | 11.9 | -6.94 | Club & Country | -0.8 | ESPN | 9.53 | Club & Country | 0.13 | 538 |
L.A. Galaxy | 10.9 | -8.2 | Club & Country | -1.99 | Sonny Moore | 4.84 | MLS Fantasy Boss | 0.08 | 3rd Degree |
Minnesota United FC | 14.1 | -7.18 | Club & Country | -0.12 | US Soccer Players | 3.17 | Coach & Crew | 0.27 | Freeborg |
Montreal (CF) | 15.3 | -3.59 | Coach & Crew | -0.08 | MLS | 5.34 | 3rd Degree | 0.7 | US Soccer Players |
Nashville SC | 8.4 | -1.16 | MLS | -0.11 | Coach & Crew | 3.42 | Club & Country | 0.35 | MLS Fantasy Boss |
New Eng. Revolution | 3 | -4.36 | Broadway | -0.1 | ESPN | 1.8 | 3rd Degree | 0.5 | Freeborg |
New York City FC | 6.1 | -4.9 | Club & Country | -0.29 | Jeff Sagarin | 3.92 | ESPN | 0.22 | Sonny Moore |
New York RB | 14.5 | -4.81 | Who Scored | -0.15 | Jeff Sagarin | 3.71 | Coach & Crew | 0.18 | MLS Fantasy Boss |
Orlando City SC | 9.2 | -3.02 | US Soc. Players | -0.09 | 3rd Degree | 3.97 | Who Scored | 1.24 | Jeff Sagarin |
Philadelphia Union | 7.5 | -4.31 | MLS Fantasy Boss | -0.84 | MLS | 3.49 | Coach & Crew | 0.08 | Massey |
Portland Timbers | 13.1 | -5.5 | 3rd Degree | -0.15 | Sports Club Stats | 7.15 | Club & Country | 0.07 | US Soccer Players |
Real Salt Lake | 14.3 | -3.69 | Coach & Crew | -0.12 | 3rd Degree | 6.07 | Club & Country | 0.35 | Freeborg |
San Jose Earthquakes | 18.7 | -5.23 | Coach & Crew | -0.62 | Sports Club Stats | 2.47 | Who Scored | 0.04 | MLS |
Seattle Sounders FC | 2.2 | -0.59 | Sonny Moore | -0.02 | ESPN | 3.62 | Club & Country | 0.02 | Who Scored |
Sporting Kansas City | 4 | -1.09 | Freeborg | -0.01 | Sports Club Stats | 2.59 | MLS Fantasy Boss | 0.12 | Club & Country |
Toronto FC | 23.1 | -5.02 | MLS Fantasy Boss | -0.07 | 538 | 3.47 | Who Scored | 0.25 | Freeborg |
Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 19.2 | -4.01 | Sonny Moore | -0.08 | Coach & Crew | 3.34 | Club & Country | 0.08 | Jeff Sagarin |