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Power Ranking Averages - Wk 16

New England moves into first place!

Power Rankings

Who knows what week it is now? Last week apparently MLS put midweek games as Wk 14, and weekend as 15, so now we’re jumping to week 16!

14 sites published rankings for week 16. These rankings do not include midweek games. 1 site put on drop notice due to lack of posting.

As always, if you know of a site I have not used please let me know in the comments and I’ll look into adding it to the list!

Sites Used

You may notice the inclusion of ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a ‘control group’ to the rest which are based on personal opinions. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team’s likely final position.

Bias for or against certain teams are sometimes an unfortunate feature of power rankings. It can be based on their analytic formula, or the raters preference. In some cases the bias can become extreme - If you feel a site got the ratings wrong for your team I invite you to contact them regarding it.

I will typically only remove sites for two reasons.

  1. Duplicating / copying ratings from another source on the list.
  2. Failure to update for 6 consecutive weeks. Previous ratings will not be removed, but new ones may or may not be added. I will still periodically check them to see if they have resumed.

All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

The full spreadsheeet is here.

2022 Power Ranking Average

Place Team Wk 31 Wk 32 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2022 Avg
Place Team Wk 31 Wk 32 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2022 Avg
17 Atlanta United FC 16.17 16.6 8 20 3.33 17.4
4 Austin FC 4.67 5.1 3 14 2.99 7.3
23 Charlotte FC 25 22.3 20 26 2.07 22.9
24 Chicago Fire 22.33 23.7 18 27 2.71 20.6
9 Cincinnati (FC) 11.17 8.7 6 11 1.44 17.9
19 Colorado Rapids 18.17 20.4 17 22 1.71 15.8
12 Columbus Crew SC 11 12.2 4 15 2.99 11.3
28 D.C. United 28 28 28 28 0 24.3
5 Dallas (FC) 5.67 6.2 4 14 2.87 8.6
26 Houston Dynamo 24 24.9 23 27 1.16 21.8
16 Inter Miami CF 18.5 16.3 11 22 3.6 21.7
11 L.A. Galaxy 15.17 11.3 9 15 1.83 9.9
2 Los Angeles FC 2 2 2 3 0.29 2
13 Minnesota United FC 10.67 13.2 9 20 3.12 10.8
3 Montreal (CF) 3.67 3.4 2 13 2.91 10.7
6 Nashville SC 6.67 6.4 3 8 1.71 8.8
22 New England Revolution 18.5 20.9 6 24 4.81 14.4
8 New York City FC 10.17 7.7 3 23 5.47 6.7
7 New York RB 5.83 6.9 5 11 1.88 6.3
14 Orlando City SC 15.33 13.8 10 21 3.45 13.4
1 Philadelphia Union 1 1 1 1 0 2.5
10 Portland Timbers 8.33 9.6 4 14 2.84 13.9
15 Real Salt Lake 13 15.3 12 18 1.71 10.6
27 San Jose Earthquakes 25.5 25.7 20 27 2.27 23.8
18 Seattle Sounders FC 14.5 17 12 21 2.97 13.6
20 Sporting Kansas City 22.67 20.7 16 26 3.57 23.7
25 Toronto FC 24.67 24.7 17 27 3.41 21.5
20 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 22.67 20.7 16 26 3.31 22.8

Site Bias

All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams. Negative totals (-) are bias FOR, positive numbers (+) are bias AGAINST.

2021 Power Ranking Bias

SITE BIAS AVG Most bias for Site Least Bias for Site Most bias agaist Site Least bias against Site
SITE BIAS AVG Most bias for Site Least Bias for Site Most bias agaist Site Least bias against Site
Atlanta United FC 12.9 -2.69 Massey -0.14 Sonny Moore 4.29 Club & Country 0.19 Sports Club Stats
Austin FC 20.6 -4.67 Club & Country -0.35 Freeborg 3.15 Sonny Moore 0.74 ESPN
Chicago Fire 23.3 -9.74 Club & Country -0.65 538 2.2 Sonny Moore 0.13 MLS Fantasy Boss
Colorado Rapids 7.4 -1.69 Freeborg -0.2 ESPN 4.5 Club & Country 0.01 Jeff Sagarin
Columbus SC 13.7 -6.56 MLS Fantasy Boss -0.2 MLS 6.95 Club & Country 0.06 Freeborg
D.C. United 16.1 -12.76 Club & Country -0.47 MLS 3.8 3rd Degree 0.23 US Soccer Players
FC Cincinnati 25.2 -1.55 Who Scored -0.01 Jeff Sagarin 1.14 Broadway 0.2 ESPN / Sonny Moore
FC Dallas 19.9 -3.93 Who Scored -0.33 538 2.67 US Soc. Players 0.43 MLS
Houston Dynamo 20.8 -3.04 3rd Degree -0.3 Broadway 2.97 Club & Country 0.05 Jeff Sagarin
Inter Miami CF 22.5 -3.02 538 -0.02 Jeff Sagarin 2.95 MLS Fantasy Boss 0.1 Massey
Los Angeles FC 11.9 -6.94 Club & Country -0.8 ESPN 9.53 Club & Country 0.13 538
L.A. Galaxy 10.9 -8.2 Club & Country -1.99 Sonny Moore 4.84 MLS Fantasy Boss 0.08 3rd Degree
Minnesota United FC 14.1 -7.18 Club & Country -0.12 US Soccer Players 3.17 Coach & Crew 0.27 Freeborg
Montreal (CF) 15.3 -3.59 Coach & Crew -0.08 MLS 5.34 3rd Degree 0.7 US Soccer Players
Nashville SC 8.4 -1.16 MLS -0.11 Coach & Crew 3.42 Club & Country 0.35 MLS Fantasy Boss
New Eng. Revolution 3 -4.36 Broadway -0.1 ESPN 1.8 3rd Degree 0.5 Freeborg
New York City FC 6.1 -4.9 Club & Country -0.29 Jeff Sagarin 3.92 ESPN 0.22 Sonny Moore
New York RB 14.5 -4.81 Who Scored -0.15 Jeff Sagarin 3.71 Coach & Crew 0.18 MLS Fantasy Boss
Orlando City SC 9.2 -3.02 US Soc. Players -0.09 3rd Degree 3.97 Who Scored 1.24 Jeff Sagarin
Philadelphia Union 7.5 -4.31 MLS Fantasy Boss -0.84 MLS 3.49 Coach & Crew 0.08 Massey
Portland Timbers 13.1 -5.5 3rd Degree -0.15 Sports Club Stats 7.15 Club & Country 0.07 US Soccer Players
Real Salt Lake 14.3 -3.69 Coach & Crew -0.12 3rd Degree 6.07 Club & Country 0.35 Freeborg
San Jose Earthquakes 18.7 -5.23 Coach & Crew -0.62 Sports Club Stats 2.47 Who Scored 0.04 MLS
Seattle Sounders FC 2.2 -0.59 Sonny Moore -0.02 ESPN 3.62 Club & Country 0.02 Who Scored
Sporting Kansas City 4 -1.09 Freeborg -0.01 Sports Club Stats 2.59 MLS Fantasy Boss 0.12 Club & Country
Toronto FC 23.1 -5.02 MLS Fantasy Boss -0.07 538 3.47 Who Scored 0.25 Freeborg
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 19.2 -4.01 Sonny Moore -0.08 Coach & Crew 3.34 Club & Country 0.08 Jeff Sagarin