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Power Ranking Averages - Week 12-13 (5/26/22)

It was a double week according to MLS tracking, 12 sites published. Loons rise, Timbers hacked down.

Power Rankings

12 sites published this week.

Sites Used

You may notice the inclusion of ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a ‘control group’ to the rest which are based on personal opinions. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team’s likely final position.

Bias for or against certain teams are sometimes an unfortunate feature of power rankings. It can be based on their analytic formula, or the raters preference. In some cases the bias can become extreme - If you feel a site got the ratings wrong for your team I invite you to contact them regarding it.

I will typically only remove sites for two reasons.

  1. Duplicating / copying ratings from another source on the list.
  2. Failure to update for 6 consecutive weeks. Previous ratings will not be removed, but new ones may or may not be added. I will still periodically check them to see if they have resumed.

All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

The full spreadsheeet is here.

2022 Power Ranking Average

Place Team Wk 15 Wk 16 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2022 Avg
Place Team Wk 15 Wk 16 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2022 Avg
16 Atlanta United FC 15.31 17.83 8 25 4.6 15.4
4 Austin FC 4.85 4.83 2 15 3.15 10.4
22 Charlotte FC 19.85 20.83 18 25 2.23 23.2
26 Chicago Fire 25.23 26.42 20 28 2.27 18.9
14 Cincinnati (FC) 16.15 14.58 13 19 1.81 21.7
19 Colorado Rapids 15.23 18.25 15 24 2.95 12.8
15 Columbus Crew SC 16.92 15.5 10 22 3.13 12.2
28 D.C. United 26.85 27.42 24 28 1.19 21.3
6 Dallas (FC) 7.46 7.42 2 13 3.01 9.4
16 Houston Dynamo 20.46 17.83 15 23 2.45 19.6
21 Inter Miami CF 22.54 20.25 15 25 2.97 24.2
9 L.A. Galaxy 8.38 8.67 6 14 2.48 8.1
1 Los Angeles FC 1.38 1.08 1 3 0.58 2.5
20 Minnesota United FC 17 19.5 6 23 4.28 11.7
10 Montreal (CF) 9.46 8.83 5 20 3.56 14.9
8 Nashville SC 9.85 7.92 4 13 2.72 7.7
12 New England Revolution 11.92 11.75 4 16 2.74 13.2
3 New York City FC 2.23 3.25 1 6 1.44 7.6
7 New York RB 5.92 7.58 4 13 2.52 6.5
13 Orlando City SC 11.92 13.67 10 24 3.76 11.9
2 Philadelphia Union 3.31 2.58 1 5 1.15 3.2
18 Portland Timbers 20.15 17.92 6 21 4.2 14.7
5 Real Salt Lake 5.69 7 2 13 3.54 10.5
25 San Jose Earthquakes 24.54 24.58 20 26 1.82 23.9
10 Seattle Sounders FC 10.62 8.83 3 11 2.77 12.5
27 Sporting Kansas City 26 26.58 25 28 1.16 22.3
24 Toronto FC 24.69 22.92 16 27 2.92 20.5
23 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 20.92 21.5 12 26 3.72 24.2

Site Bias

All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams. Negative totals (-) are bias FOR, positive numbers (+) are bias AGAINST.

This bias list is based on Season Average and not weekly ranking.

2022 Power Ranking Bias

SITE BIAS AVG J-Sag 538 Who Scrd Mass Sonny ESPN SCS MLS Co+Cr Odds VSS Simmons USSP MLSNW WTR F-Boss Fr-Borg B-way AVG
SITE BIAS AVG J-Sag 538 Who Scrd Mass Sonny ESPN SCS MLS Co+Cr Odds VSS Simmons USSP MLSNW WTR F-Boss Fr-Borg B-way AVG
Atlanta United FC 15.4 1.4 -2.9 -1.1 3.1 4.7 -1.1 -1.4 0 -0.7 -1.8 2.2 0.4 -0.9 -7.8 4.9 -0.9 2 -1.9 15.4
Austin FC 10.4 2.2 1.4 -2.4 -3.2 3.7 -1.1 -6 -0.1 -8.2 3.9 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.1 -0.7 7.3 -4.1 -5.2 10.4
Charlotte FC 23.2 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 3.4 -0.4 -1.7 -1.3 -0.4 1.7 -2 0.9 1.6 -0.1 -1.9 -3.7 -2.9 -1 23.2
Chicago Fire 18.9 2.6 1.1 -7.2 -1.1 2.3 -0.3 -2 1 -0.6 4.5 0.3 0.3 -0.9 -1.6 -6.5 2.2 2.2 2.3 18.9
Cincinnati (FC) 21.7 2.7 2.1 -1.5 -0.1 2.9 0.6 -4.1 -2.4 -2 2.3 -1.5 0.2 2.1 -1.7 2.2 5.9 -4.9 -9.4 21.7
Colorado Rapids 12.8 -3 1.8 2.2 1.7 1.2 -0.3 3.3 -1 4.2 -2 -0.5 -2.1 -3.1 -0.1 -2.2 -2.2 2.5 -1.1 12.8
Columbus Crew SC 12.2 -0.8 -2.7 -4.7 -2.6 -1.5 1 -1.6 3.8 -1.6 4.7 1.2 0.2 -3.5 4.9 2.1 -3.2 6.9 0.1 12.2
D.C. United 21.3 1.4 0.3 -2.1 0.3 2.2 1.4 -4.2 1.9 -3.4 -1.1 0.3 -0.5 1.2 1.6 -2.2 -3.5 3.3 -0.6 21.3
Dallas (FC) 9.4 -0.2 0.3 1 -0.4 -3 -0.9 -0.1 0.1 -1.2 5 -1.2 0.7 1.6 0.1 -1.7 5.6 -1.4 -4.2 9.4
Houston Dynamo 19.6 1 4.2 0.2 0.6 -1.1 -3.6 -3.3 -0.7 -4 1.9 -1.5 0.6 -1.6 2.3 -2.7 5.3 -2.7 -3.3 19.6
Inter Miami CF 24.2 2 1.5 -0.6 0.8 0.3 -1.6 -1.1 -1.1 0 0.7 -1.8 1.7 -1.2 -1.9 -0.5 -0.9 -2.7 0.8 24.2
L.A. Galaxy 8.1 1.4 -2 2.3 0.3 2 -2.7 0 0.1 1 -1.7 0.6 1.8 1.4 -2.8 -1 -0.1 -0.6 0.9 8.1
Los Angeles FC 2.5 0.7 -1.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 -1.4 0.2 0.3 -0.3 -1.3 0.5 2.6 0.3 -0.8 -0.9 9.4 -0.5 -0.8 2.5
Minnesota United FC 11.7 -2.1 -0.2 -7.3 -2.6 -4.1 1.1 2.8 3.6 1.6 3.9 0.3 -0.9 1.8 6.5 -3 0.1 1.6 5 11.7
Montreal (CF) 14.9 -0.5 -0.6 7.3 0.2 1.8 0.8 -0.4 -2.5 -0.6 2.4 -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 -5 4.2 2.4 -6.9 -6.7 14.9
Nashville SC 7.7 -1.9 -0.8 4.5 -2.5 0.2 -2.4 2.7 0 3.2 2.1 0.9 -4.7 4.6 3.2 0.6 -4.8 -1.8 0.8 7.7
New England Revolution 13.2 0.3 -1.6 -4.3 3.3 -2 1.3 2.5 -0.3 2.9 -7.9 2.3 1.8 -1.7 1.5 4.7 -7.8 6.5 0.5 13.2
New York City FC 7.6 2.8 -5.3 -0.3 2.3 2.8 1.8 1.2 -3.7 2 -4.4 3.1 0.8 -2.1 0 5.7 -4.9 1.9 -5.9 7.6
New York RB 6.5 -3 -1.9 -1.8 -0.4 0.9 -0.4 -1.7 1.5 -1.8 2 4.7 -1.3 2.8 4.2 1.6 -1.4 1.4 -3.2 6.5
Orlando City SC 11.9 2 0.2 6.4 -0.8 -1.4 0.4 -1.2 0.5 -1.7 1 0 -0.7 1.4 -4 -5.5 1.9 -1.2 6.3 11.9
Philadelphia Union 3.2 -1.1 0.4 0.2 -0.1 -0.4 1 1.7 -0.2 2 0.2 0.1 -0.5 0 0.1 0.1 -0.9 0.8 0.8 3.2
Portland Timbers 14.7 -1 3.9 -5.5 0.9 -3.6 -1.4 5.6 2 0.7 -1.6 -0.3 1.1 3.3 0.3 -1.8 -7.4 3.8 3.8 14.7
Real Salt Lake 10.5 -0.6 2.9 1.4 -1.4 -1.7 -1.2 -2.8 2.8 -1 3.7 -3.5 -2 -1.5 0.8 -0.9 2.3 -2.2 4.2 10.5
San Jose Earthquakes 23.9 -1.8 0.2 -2.4 -1.1 -2.5 1.8 1.2 1.4 0.6 2.3 -1.6 -0.6 1.1 1.4 -0.2 1.8 -0.7 0.4 23.9
Seattle Sounders FC 12.5 -3.8 -1.3 9.3 1.7 -0.6 5 5.2 -8.7 6.9 -8.6 1.6 -0.6 -4.8 -2.9 3.8 -0.9 -0.6 5.5 12.5
Sporting Kansas City 22.3 -3.9 -0.4 3.3 1.8 -2.2 2.2 2.7 1.2 3 -6.4 -0.7 -0.7 -2.3 0.6 -0.4 -4.1 2.7 4.9 22.3
Toronto FC 20.5 3.4 2.3 -5.8 -2.5 -1.3 0.1 0.5 2.4 -1.4 -5.8 -1 2.1 -0.5 2.4 -1.6 5.3 -0.3 6.8 20.5
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 24.2 -1.3 -0.4 0.3 1.7 -2.2 1.5 0.2 0.2 2.1 0.7 -2.5 -0.1 1.6 -0.3 1.9 -1.9 -1 1.5 24.2
Most Bias VS 3.4 4.2 9.3 3.3 3.7 5 5.6 3.8 6.9 5 4.7 2.6 4.6 6.5 5.7 9.4 6.9 6.8 VS
Most Bias FOR -3.9 -5.3 -7.3 -3.2 -4.1 -3.6 -6 -8.7 -8.2 -8.6 -3.5 -4.7 -4.8 -5 -6.5 -7.8 -6.9 -9.4 FOR
WEEK ACCURACY Exact 1 off 2 off 3 off 4 off 5 off 6 off 7+ off
Jeff Sagarin 6 8 3 5 5 1 0 0
FiveThirtyEight 9 10 4 3 1 0 0 1 Good
Who Scored 0 5 5 2 3 3 1 9 Worst
ESPN 8 11 2 5 0 2 0 0 V. Good
Massey 7 12 4 2 2 0 1 0 V. Good
Sonny Moore 4 11 5 3 4 0 0 1
Versus Sports Simulator 4 10 5 4 2 0 1 2
Simmons Ratings NA
MLS Network 7 9 5 4 0 2 0 1
MLS Soccer 7 10 6 2 1 0 0 2
Freeborg Power Index 5 7 3 8 0 1 2 2
Sports Club Stats 9 11 3 3 2 0 0 0 Best
Coach & Crew 5 12 7 2 2 0 0 0 V. Good
Betting Odds 7 5 6 4 1 1 2 2
US Soccer Players NA
MLS Fantasy Boss NA
Waking The Red NA
Broadway Sports 5 10 6 3 2 0 1 1