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Power Ranking Averages - Week 9 (5/5/22)

14 sites published. Cincinnati climbs while Timbers tumble.

Power Rankings

14 sites published this week. Once again sites published week 8 after I did so last week has been updated. Sports Club Stats is on drop warning after not updating since week 5.

Sites Used

You may notice the inclusion of ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a ‘control group’ to the rest which are based on personal opinions. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team’s likely final position.

Bias for or against certain teams are sometimes an unfortunate feature of power rankings. It can be based on their analytic formula, or the raters preference. In some cases the bias can become extreme - If you feel a site got the ratings wrong for your team I invite you to contact them regarding it.

I will typically only remove sites for two reasons.

  1. Duplicating / copying ratings from another source on the list.
  2. Failure to update for 6 consecutive weeks. Previous ratings will not be removed, but new ones may or may not be added. I will still periodically check them to see if they have resumed.

All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

The full spreadsheeet is here.

2022 Power Ranking Average

Place Team Wk 11 Wk 12/13 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2021 Avg
Place Team Wk 11 Wk 12/13 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2021 Avg
18 Atlanta United FC 16.17 16.7 11 23 3.19 14.9
4 Austin FC 9.25 4.7 2 7 1.44 11.7
22 Charlotte FC 22.67 22 19 28 2.7 23.8
26 Chicago Fire 24.33 25.2 22 28 2.04 16.8
17 Cincinnati (FC) 14.67 16.1 8 20 3.55 23.5
13 Colorado Rapids 12.75 13 11 17 1.64 11.8
20 Columbus Crew SC 15.08 19.1 9 23 4.01 11.4
25 D.C. United 21.75 24.9 21 28 2.17 19.8
5 Dallas (FC) 2.58 6.5 1 11 2.84 10.5
16 Houston Dynamo 19.42 16 11 20 2.75 20
23 Inter Miami CF 25.92 22.7 19 27 2.6 25.1
10 L.A. Galaxy 6.92 10.6 6 16 3.34 8.1
1 Los Angeles FC 2.67 1.7 1 4 0.94 2.7
12 Minnesota United FC 15.83 12.4 4 17 3.34 10.3
9 Montreal (CF) 5.83 8.7 5 19 3.6 16.9
8 Nashville SC 9.92 8 4 14 2.95 7.5
15 New England Revolution 16.58 15.2 5 20 4.54 13.4
2 New York City FC 5.25 2.5 1 8 1.99 9.3
6 New York RB 4.33 7.5 4 11 1.88 6.4
11 Orlando City SC 10.42 10.7 6 19 3.36 11.6
2 Philadelphia Union 2.92 2.5 1 4 1.09 3.3
19 Portland Timbers 13.33 18.4 9 22 3.48 13.2
7 Real Salt Lake 11.75 7.6 2 15 3.79 11.4
21 San Jose Earthquakes 22.17 21.1 16 26 3.23 24
14 Seattle Sounders FC 15.5 15.1 5 23 5.35 12.6
26 Sporting Kansas City 26.25 25.2 22 28 2.21 20.8
24 Toronto FC 23.92 24.4 16 28 3.67 19.6
28 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26.5 26.8 25 28 0.97 24.8
  • Highest Standard Deviation: Seattle Sounders 6.29
  • Lowest Standard Deviation: Los Angeles FC 0.36
  • Biggest Rise: FC Cincinnati up 5.
  • Biggest Fall: Portland Timbers down 5.

Site Bias

All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams. Negative totals (-) are bias FOR, positive numbers (+) are bias AGAINST.

This bias list is based on Season Average and not weekly ranking.

2022 Power Ranking Bias

SITE BIAS AVG J-Sag 538 Who Scrd Mass Sonny ESPN SCS MLS Co+Cr Odds VSS Simmons USSP MLSNW WTR F-Boss Fr-Borg
SITE BIAS AVG J-Sag 538 Who Scrd Mass Sonny ESPN SCS MLS Co+Cr Odds VSS Simmons USSP MLSNW WTR F-Boss Fr-Borg
Atlanta United FC 14.9 1.6 -3.2 1.1 3.1 4.1 -1.1 -2.6 0.2 -1.2 -1.7 0.5 0 -2.2 -8.9 5.3 -0.5 1.5
Austin FC 11.7 2.7 1.4 -5.5 -4.2 4.5 -1.6 -7.5 -0.6 -10.1 5.1 1.7 1.5 0.6 1 -1.4 6 -5.2
Charlotte FC 23.8 2.6 0.7 -1 0.4 3.2 -0.4 -0.5 -1.2 -0.3 1.4 -2.1 0.7 1.9 0.8 -1.6 -4.4 -3.6
Chicago Fire 16.8 3.4 2 -7.7 -1.6 2.7 -0.1 -8 1.5 -2.4 5.2 -0.3 1 -1.8 -2.5 -6.8 3.9 2
Cincinnati (FC) 23.5 2.6 2.1 -2.1 -0.3 2.6 0.4 -2.3 -2.8 -0.9 1.6 -1.9 0.2 1.8 -1.9 1.5 4.2 -5.5
Colorado Rapids 11.8 -3.9 2.2 3 2 2 0 1.9 -0.8 4.1 -2.6 -2.3 -2.3 -2.8 0.6 -1.8 -1.2 1.7
Columbus Crew SC 11.4 -0.7 -3 -4.2 -2.9 -2.2 -0.1 -4.4 3.3 -2.9 5.2 1.9 0.4 -4.1 5.3 1.9 -2.7 8
D.C. United 19.8 1.3 0.3 -2.9 0 2.7 1.6 -8.6 2.5 -5.8 -0.7 0.4 -0.6 1.5 2.1 -1.8 -2.1 3.7
Dallas (FC) 10.5 0.2 0.4 0.6 -0.4 -2.8 -1.8 2.2 -0.3 -0.4 5.3 -1.7 1 2.5 0 -2.2 5.5 -3.5
Houston Dynamo 20 0.8 3.8 -0.5 0.5 -1.2 -3.7 -4.2 -0.8 -5.4 2.8 -1.5 0.7 -0.7 1.6 -2.5 5.1 -3.3
Inter Miami CF 25.1 1.3 1.7 0 0.6 0.7 -1.4 -0.9 -0.8 -0.4 0.6 -1.2 1.1 -0.4 -2.4 -0.4 -2.1 -2.4
L.A. Galaxy 8.1 2 -2.3 1.7 0.7 2.9 -2.9 -1.4 -0.4 0.5 -1.9 1.4 1.8 1.9 -3.3 -0.6 -0.3 -1.7
Los Angeles FC 2.7 1.1 -1.7 0 0.4 0.5 -1.6 1 0.5 0 -1.5 0.4 3 0.6 -0.8 -1 9.5 -1.2
Minnesota United FC 10.3 -1.8 -0.2 -6.1 -2.4 -4.7 1.2 2.7 3.7 1.2 5.2 -0.1 -0.2 2 7.7 -2.1 1 0.6
Montreal (CF) 16.9 -1.1 -1.1 6.5 0.1 2.2 0.4 4.1 -3.7 1 2.4 -0.9 -1.2 0.1 -5.8 4.1 1.5 -8.7
Nashville SC 7.5 -2.1 -0.3 5.3 -2.3 0.3 -2.7 3.8 -0.5 4.6 2 1.3 -5 3.8 2.7 0.7 -4.7 -0.9
New England Revolution 13.4 0 -1.9 -3.2 3.8 -3.2 1.2 4.1 -0.4 4.5 -8.7 2.8 1.2 -3.4 2.1 4.3 -8.3 9.4
New York City FC 9.3 3.3 -6.8 -0.1 2.9 2.6 1.9 5.5 -5 3.8 -5.7 3.9 0 -3 0.1 5.9 -6.5 2.3
New York RB 6.4 -3.9 -2.3 -1.7 -1.3 0.8 -0.3 -2.2 2 -2.2 2.6 4.7 -1.9 3.6 5.5 1.4 -1.1 1.2
Orlando City SC 11.6 2 0.1 5.1 -1.1 -1.4 1 -1.3 0.9 -2.4 1.8 0.9 -0.5 2.4 -4.1 -5.9 2.1 -1.7
Philadelphia Union 3.3 -1.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 -0.8 0.6 3.5 -0.4 2.2 0.2 0.7 -0.3 0.4 0.2 0 -0.9 0.6
Portland Timbers 13.2 -0.6 5.1 -4 1.4 -4.2 -1.9 5.1 2.4 2.2 -2.3 -1.2 1.9 3.8 0 -2 -5.9 3.9
Real Salt Lake 11.4 -1.1 4 1 -1.6 -0.7 -0.9 -4.2 3.7 -1.5 3.9 -3.4 -2.4 -0.7 0.9 -1.4 1.4 -0.7
San Jose Earthquakes 24 -1.5 0.5 -1.8 -1.5 -2 1.7 0.5 1.5 0.4 2.3 -1.8 -0.5 1.3 1.6 -0.5 1.9 -0.9
Seattle Sounders FC 12.6 -3.9 -1.5 11 2.5 -1.6 6 8.7 -8.9 8.5 -9 2.2 -0.5 -5.6 -4.4 3.9 -1.2 0.7
Sporting Kansas City 20.8 -4.7 -0.6 4 2.4 -2.8 3.5 1.7 2.1 3.2 -7.9 -0.7 -0.5 -3.5 1.2 0 -2.9 4
Toronto FC 19.6 4.2 2.1 -5.4 -3.1 -1.7 0.1 0.6 2.6 -1.9 -5.8 -1 2.9 -0.6 2.2 -1.3 6 -1.1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 24.8 -1.8 -0.3 -0.6 2 -1.8 1.5 -0.1 0.4 2.1 0 -2.3 -0.6 1.2 -0.8 1.7 -2.5 1.6
Most Bias VS 4.2 5.1 11 3.8 4.5 6 8.7 3.7 8.5 5.3 4.7 3 3.8 7.7 5.9 9.5 9.4
Most Bias FOR -4.7 -6.8 -7.7 -4.2 -4.7 -3.7 -8.6 -8.9 -10.1 -9 -3.4 -5 -5.6 -5.8 -6.8 -8.3 -8.7
WEEK ACCURACY Exact 1 off 2 off 3 off 4 off 5 off 6 off 7+ off
Jeff Sagarin 9 8 2 5 3 1 0 0 Best
FiveThirtyEight 8 7 5 5 3 0 0 0 Very good
Who Scored 2 4 4 4 2 1 1 10 Worst
ESPN 3 7 8 5 3 2 0 0
Massey 6 12 6 3 0 1 0 0 good
Sonny Moore 3 7 7 7 3 0 1 0
Versus Sports Simulator 2 12 4 5 2 3 0 0 good
Simmons Ratings 4 13 5 2 2 1 1 0 good
MLS Network NA
MLS Soccer 1 11 8 3 1 2 1 1
Freeborg Power Index 1 9 8 6 2 0 1 1
Sports Club Stats NA
Coach & Crew 5 7 6 6 2 1 1 0
Betting Odds 4 7 8 1 1 4 1 2
US Soccer Players NA
MLS Fantasy Boss NA
Waking The Red NA

Worst weekly ratings bias