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Power Ranking Averages - Week 22 (8/4/22)

12 sites published. Does not include midweek games!

Power Rankings

12 sites published for week 23. The averages DO NOT include the midweek games, they will be included next week.

Sites Used

You may notice the inclusion of ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a ‘control group’ to the rest which are based on personal opinions. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team’s likely final position.

Bias for or against certain teams are sometimes an unfortunate feature of power rankings. It can be based on their analytic formula, or the raters preference. In some cases the bias can become extreme - If you feel a site got the ratings wrong for your team I invite you to contact them regarding it.

I will typically only remove sites for two reasons.

  1. Duplicating / copying ratings from another source on the list.
  2. Failure to update for 6 consecutive weeks. Previous ratings will not be removed, but new ones may or may not be added. I will still periodically check them to see if they have resumed.

All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

The full spreadsheeet is here.

2022 Power Ranking Average

Place Team Wk 24 Wk 25 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2022 Avg
Place Team Wk 24 Wk 25 Wk Best Wk Worst Std. Dev 2022 Avg
21 Atlanta United FC 19.83 19.27 9 23 3.65 16.9
3 Austin FC 3.67 3.36 2 9 1.7 8.2
24 Charlotte FC 22.5 23.45 20 26 1.71 22.6
22 Chicago Fire 17.67 20.27 11 24 3.72 20
13 Cincinnati (FC) 12.75 13 7 19 3.39 19.5
16 Colorado Rapids 15.08 15.73 11 21 3.68 14.7
8 Columbus Crew SC 8.58 8.45 5 11 1.76 11.6
28 D.C. United 27.58 27.73 27 28 0.48 23.2
6 Dallas (FC) 7.58 6.82 4 18 3.71 9.1
26 Houston Dynamo 25.75 26.36 24 28 1.44 20.8
18 Inter Miami CF 19.42 17 13 21 2.45 23
11 L.A. Galaxy 16.17 12.18 8 20 3.55 9
1 Los Angeles FC 1 1.09 1 2 0.38 2.1
7 Minnesota United FC 9.17 7.09 4 15 2.85 11.2
5 Montreal (CF) 6.08 5.36 4 22 4.79 12.6
15 Nashville SC 13.5 16.18 8 22 3.87 8.8
12 New England Revolution 14.33 12.18 4 18 3.74 13.6
4 New York City FC 3 4.36 2 12 2.65 6.3
9 New York RB 5.83 8.91 5 11 1.96 6.3
19 Orlando City SC 20.75 18 12 24 3.37 13.3
2 Philadelphia Union 2.33 1.91 1 3 0.49 2.9
14 Portland Timbers 11.58 15.36 6 19 3.43 14.3
10 Real Salt Lake 13 10.36 6 17 3.5 10.3
25 San Jose Earthquakes 24.25 25 18 26 2.15 23.6
17 Seattle Sounders FC 14.42 17 11 23 3.83 12.7
26 Sporting Kansas City 26.75 26.27 24 28 1.01 23.7
20 Toronto FC 22.08 18.82 10 23 4.74 21.5
23 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 20.33 22.82 18 26 2.25 23.1

Site Bias

All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams. Negative totals (-) are bias FOR, positive numbers (+) are bias AGAINST.

This bias list is based on Season Average and not weekly ranking.

2022 Power Ranking Bias

SITE BIAS AVG Sag 538 Wh Sc Mass Son ESPN MLS C+C Odds VSS Sim USSP M-NW Fbrg B-way AVG
SITE BIAS AVG Sag 538 Wh Sc Mass Son ESPN MLS C+C Odds VSS Sim USSP M-NW Fbrg B-way AVG
Atlanta United FC 16.9 0.8 -2.4 -4.1 2.8 4.1 0.1 0.6 -1.7 -1.5 2.7 0.2 0.6 -6.5 2 -2.3 16.9
Austin FC 8.2 1.5 1 0.8 -2.2 2.3 -0.8 -0.1 -6.1 3 0.9 1.2 1 -0.6 -3.5 -3.5 8.2
Charlotte FC 22.6 1.5 0.6 0.9 0 3.6 -1.2 -1.1 -0.3 1.1 -1.2 0.4 0.7 0.2 -2.3 -1.2 22.6
Chicago Fire 20 1.7 0.5 -7.4 0 0.9 0.2 0.3 -0.6 4.2 0.4 0 0 -0.7 -0.4 0.2 20
Cincinnati (FC) 19.5 2.6 2.1 -1 -0.1 2.4 -0.7 -2.3 -0.4 2.5 -1.4 0.3 0.8 -2.8 -3.4 -6.6 19.5
Colorado Rapids 14.7 -2.8 0.6 1.9 1.1 0 -0.8 0 3 -0.5 -0.2 -2.6 -0.5 1 2 -2.8 14.7
Columbus Crew SC 11.6 -0.9 -1.8 -4.4 -2 -0.6 1.9 3.2 -1 3.6 0.2 0.4 -1.3 3 3.2 -0.2 11.6
D.C. United 23.2 1.2 0.3 -1.4 0.4 1.5 0.9 1.2 -4.1 -0.6 0 -0.4 0.3 0.9 2.6 0 23.2
Dallas (FC) 9.1 -0.5 0.8 2.8 -0.4 -3 -1.2 0.2 -1.1 4.3 -1 -0.2 0.4 -0.1 0.6 -3.3 9.1
Houston Dynamo 20.8 0.6 3.4 -0.6 0.7 -1.1 -1.9 -0.6 -4.7 1 -0.6 0.5 -2.1 2.5 -0.6 -2.2 20.8
Inter Miami CF 23 2.2 1.1 -0.1 0.3 0 -2.2 -0.8 0.8 1 -2.4 2 -1.2 -1.1 -2.8 0.8 23
L.A. Galaxy 9 0.8 -1.8 2 -0.2 1 0 0.5 0.5 -1.8 0.3 1.3 1.7 -1.7 1.2 -0.2 9
Los Angeles FC 2.1 0.4 -1 0.7 0.2 0 -1.1 0.1 0 -1 0.7 1.9 0.1 -0.5 -0.2 -0.5 2.1
Minnesota United FC 11.2 -2 -0.3 -6.9 -2.2 -3.1 0.8 2.1 2.1 3.4 0.5 -1 2.1 5.7 -0.3 4.1 11.2
Montreal (CF) 12.6 0.8 -1 9.3 0.4 1 0.3 -2.2 0.9 1.4 -0.7 -0.1 -0.6 -4 -4.9 -4.7 12.6
Nashville SC 8.8 -1.1 -0.8 3.7 -2 0.4 -1.9 0.4 2 0.5 1.7 -3.3 3 2.8 -0.4 -0.5 8.8
New England Revolution 13.6 0.1 -1.4 -5.7 2 0.2 2 0.2 2.2 -5.8 1 1.2 -0.3 1.1 4.6 2 13.6
New York City FC 6.3 1.8 -4 -0.8 1.6 2.8 1.2 -2.3 2.4 -3.3 2 0.9 -1 0.5 1.6 -4.6 6.3
New York RB 6.3 -1.9 -1.4 -1.1 0 1.1 -0.6 0.9 -1.7 1 4 -0.9 1 2.9 0.8 -2.3 6.3
Orlando City SC 13.3 2.1 0.1 6.7 -0.6 -0.6 -0.9 0.2 -2.4 -0.8 -0.5 -0.3 0 -2.7 0.1 6.3 13.3
Philadelphia Union 2.9 -0.8 0.5 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 1.1 0 2.1 0.3 -0.3 -0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 2.9
Portland Timbers 14.3 -1.7 3.6 -6.2 0.6 -3 -0.3 1.4 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.6 3 0.7 1.3 1.4 14.3
Real Salt Lake 10.3 0.1 1.5 1.7 -0.7 -2 -1.8 1.7 -0.6 4.1 -2.7 -1.3 -2.3 -0.3 -0.6 4.6 10.3
San Jose Earthquakes 23.6 -1.7 0.5 -3.4 -0.9 -2.8 1.9 1.8 0.8 2.4 -1.4 -0.6 1.4 1.3 -1.5 1 23.6
Seattle Sounders FC 12.7 -3.7 -1.1 5.3 1.3 1.2 4.1 -6.5 5.7 -7.4 2.8 -0.2 -4.5 -1.6 0.8 4.1 12.7
Sporting Kansas City 23.7 -2.7 -0.2 2.4 1.1 -1.4 1.4 1 2 -4.4 -0.3 -0.7 -1 0.2 1.9 3.7 23.7
Toronto FC 21.5 2.9 2.3 -5.8 -1.1 -0.3 -0.8 1 -1.4 -6.7 -0.6 1.8 0.3 1.5 0.7 5 21.5
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 23.1 -0.5 -0.2 1.7 1 -3.3 1.1 0.1 2.8 0.5 -2.9 0.4 -0.8 -0.8 -1.6 2.2 23.1
Most Bias VS 2.9 3.6 9.3 2 3.6 4.1 3.2 5.7 4.3 4 2 3 5.7 4.6 6.3 VS
Most Bias FOR -3.7 -4 -7.4 -2.2 -3.3 -2.2 -6.5 -6.1 -7.4 -2.9 -3.3 -4.5 -4 -4.9 -6.6 FOR
WEEK ACCURACY Exact 1 off 2 off 3 off 4 off 5 off 6 off 7+ off
Jeff Sagarin 7 14 3 3 1 0 0 0
FiveThirtyEight 12 7 3 5 0 1 0 0
Who Scored 2 5 3 4 3 1 3 7
ESPN 6 7 4 5 2 2 0 2
Massey 14 8 3 3 0 0 0 0
Sonny Moore 8 6 8 2 2 1 1 0
Versus Sports Simulator 6 4 7 4 2 2 2 1
Simmons Ratings 14 12 1 1 0 0 0 0
MLS Network 6 9 4 2 3 2 1 1
MLS Soccer 8 8 6 3 2 0 1 0
Freeborg Power Index 11 7 4 2 1 0 1 2
Coach & Crew N/A
Betting Odds 7 8 2 3 3 1 2 2
US Soccer Players N/A
Broadway Sports 3 8 4 5 2 2 1 3